GrainStrategy

Willow Bend Land & Cattle

June Yoder · Republic County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2017

288k bu at 75% priced
$1.3M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 28 days5 other findings(785) 555-2825
1 break-even is more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on that crop is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting June Yoder onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
7 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Milo
new crop · 684 acres at 109 bu
$3.80Stated on a callJun 9, 2026
2 months old
75k bu$283,313
$414/acre
+$0.28
bid $4.08
With a caveat
Milo
old crop · 676 acres at 108 bu
$3.65County estimateJun 9, 2026
2 months old
73k bu$266,479
$394/acre
+$0.29
bid $3.94
With a caveat
Corn
new crop · 551 acres at 148 bu
$4.16County estimateJan 9, 2026
7 months old
82k bu$339,240
$616/acre
+$0.25
bid $4.41
Out of date
Wheat
new crop · 499 acres at 62 bu
$5.08County estimateMay 9, 2026
3 months old
31k bu$157,165
$315/acre
+$0.83
bid $5.91
With a caveat
Wheat
old crop · 494 acres at 56 bu
$5.55Stated on a callJul 9, 2026
1 month old
28k bu$153,535
$311/acre
-$0.19
bid $5.36
With a caveat

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.