GrainStrategy

Willow Bend Land & Cattle

June Yoder · Republic County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2017

288k bu at 76% priced
$1.2M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 13 days10 other findings(785) 555-2825
Wheat is 42% sold against a 80% pace with the bid $0.38/bu over cost. Price 6,497 bu through the elevator, which banks $2,469 over cost with no margin call risk. 9 more findings on this family.
Priced
76%
219k bu of 288k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$906.1K
$270 of it over break-even
On the table
$7K
Margin over cost in 68k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
5 live crops across 1,734 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

684 acres at 109 bu/acre · 75k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.71 is under the $3.80 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 35% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.80
Stated by the client, Aug 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.71
Board $3.95 with a -$0.24 basis.
Average sold
$3.69
-$0.11 over cost on 51k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.09
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace68% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 51k buInsured 52k bu, typed on the planExpected 75k bu

1,500 bu left inside the insured bushels.

24k bu unpricedStorage 26k bu, 35% of the crop51k bu sold, not hauled

Milo old crop · Dec 2026

676 acres at 108 bu/acre · 73k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.71 is only $0.06/bu over the $3.65 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 82% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.65
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.71
Board $3.95 with a -$0.24 basis.
Average sold
$3.81
+$0.16 over cost on 70k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.06
$156 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace96% of 95% target
2,608 bu unpricedStorage 60k bu, 82% of the crop1,100 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Atchison River Terminal
500 bu$3.87 cash$0.16Nov 27, 2026
Forward/HTA
Atchison River Terminal
600 bu$4.11 cash$0.40Dec 27, 2026

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

551 acres at 148 bu/acre · 82k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.05 is under the $4.16 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 60% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.16
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.05
Board $4.31 with a -$0.26 basis.
Average sold
$4.07
-$0.09 over cost on 60k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.11
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace73% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 60k buInsured 61k bu, typed on the planExpected 82k bu

1,700 bu left inside the insured bushels.

22k bu unpricedStorage 49k bu, 60% of the crop60k bu sold, not hauled7,500 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Atchison River Terminal
3,100 bu$4.58 board$0.27Good til canceled
Cash
Atchison River Terminal
4,400 bu$4.41 cash$0.36Jan 15, 2027

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

499 acres at 62 bu/acre · 31k bu expected

Needs a call
Price the next 21%: the bid is $0.38/bu over break-even at 42% sold against a 80% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 23k bu, so 10k bu can be contracted without production risk.

6,497 bu at $5.46 banks $2,469 over break-even.

Break-even
$5.08
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$5.46
Board $5.90 with a -$0.44 basis.
Average sold
$5.62
+$0.54 over cost on 13k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.38
$6,854 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace42% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 13k buInsured 23k bu, typed on the planExpected 31k bu

10k bu left inside the insured bushels.

18k bu unpricedStorage 6,700 bu, 22% of the crop13k bu sold, not hauled

Wheat old crop · Dec 2026

494 acres at 56 bu/acre · 28k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $5.08 is under the $5.55 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 37% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$5.55
Stated by the client, Sep 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.08
Board $5.52 with a -$0.44 basis.
Average sold
$5.26
-$0.29 over cost on 26k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.47
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace93% of 95% target
1,864 bu unpricedStorage 10k bu, 37% of the crop19k bu sold, not hauled200 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Atchison River Terminal
200 bu$5.78 board$0.26Jan 16, 2027

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.