GrainStrategy

Willow Bend Land & Cattle

June Yoder · Republic County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2017

288k bu at 75% priced
$1.3M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 28 days5 other findings(785) 555-2825
Wheat is 34% sold against a 72% pace with the bid $0.83/bu over cost. Price 6,497 bu through the elevator, which banks $5,393 over cost with no margin call risk. 4 more findings on this family.
Priced
75%
217k bu of 288k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$961.1K
$67,381 of it over break-even
On the table
$29.9K
Margin over cost in 71k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
5 live crops across 1,734 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

684 acres at 109 bu/acre · 75k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 68% sold at $4.06 average, $0.26/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.08 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung (17% at $4.61).

Break-even
$3.80
Stated by the client, Jun 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.08
Board $4.05 with a $0.03 basis.
Average sold
$4.06
+$0.26 over cost on 51k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.28
$6,680 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace68% of 72% target
24k bu unpricedStorage 26k bu, 35% of the crop51k bu sold, not hauled1,500 bu safe to contract

Milo old crop · Sep 2026

676 acres at 108 bu/acre · 73k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 96% sold at $4.04 average, $0.39/bu over break-even

Cash bid $3.94 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$3.65
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.94
Board $3.91 with a $0.03 basis.
Average sold
$4.04
+$0.39 over cost on 70k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.29
$756 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace96% of 95% target
2,608 bu unpricedStorage 60k bu, 82% of the crop1,100 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Atchison River Terminal
500 bu$4.09 cash$0.15Sep 11, 2026
Forward/HTA
Atchison River Terminal
600 bu$4.34 cash$0.40Oct 11, 2026

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

551 acres at 148 bu/acre · 82k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 73% sold at $4.44 average, $0.28/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.41 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung (21% at $5.02).

Break-even
$4.16
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.41
Board $4.44 with a -$0.03 basis.
Average sold
$4.44
+$0.28 over cost on 60k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.25
$5,512 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace73% of 72% target
22k bu unpricedStorage 49k bu, 60% of the crop60k bu sold, not hauled7,500 bu resting1,700 bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Atchison River Terminal
4,400 bu$4.58 cash$0.17Oct 30, 2026
Cash
Atchison River Terminal
3,100 bu$4.71 board$0.27Good til canceled

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

499 acres at 62 bu/acre · 31k bu expected

Needs a call
Price the next 21%: the bid is $0.83/bu over break-even at 34% sold against a 72% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 23k bu, so 13k bu can be contracted without production risk.

6,497 bu at $5.91 banks $5,393 over break-even.

Break-even
$5.08
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$5.91
Board $6.01 with a -$0.10 basis.
Average sold
$6.07
+$0.99 over cost on 11k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.83
$16,964 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace34% of 72% target
20k bu unpricedStorage 6,700 bu, 22% of the crop11k bu sold, not hauled13k bu safe to contract

Wheat old crop · Sep 2026

494 acres at 56 bu/acre · 28k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $5.36 is under the $5.55 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 37% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$5.55
Stated by the client, Jul 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.36
Board $5.46 with a -$0.10 basis.
Average sold
$5.54
-$0.01 over cost on 26k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.19
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace93% of 95% target
1,864 bu unpricedStorage 10k bu, 37% of the crop19k bu sold, not hauled200 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Atchison River Terminal
200 bu$5.72 board$0.26Oct 31, 2026

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.