GrainStrategy

Whitetail Land & Cattle

Wade Carver · Republic County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2025

100k bu at 82% priced · 1,065 head at 36% sold
$3.1M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 43 days1 critical5 other findings(785) 555-1971
64 head has no floor under it. Whether that matters depends on the margin: with the market well over cost of gain it is a risk the desk can live with, and with the market near cost it is the finding that outranks everything else on this page.
Head to market
1,065
380 sold, 36% by head
Sold against pace
36%
Pace target 35% by head.
Head with no floor
64
Unsold, with no endorsement and no forward contract.
On the table
Margin over cost of gain in the unsold head, at today's market.

Pen, Jul placement Feedlot

1,065 head at 14.18 cwt · 15,102 cwt total

Needs a callReady in 4 months
Time stop passed: the 222 head lot was due 2026-08-09

The plan sells this lot on the calendar rather than the market, so cattle do not ride past condition and weight. Today's market is $182.00/cwt against a $187.31 break-even.

222 head at $182.00 banks -$16,703 over cost of gain.

Cost of gain
$187.31
$2,656 a head. Estimated.
Market today
$182.00
Feedlot at the outlets this client uses.
Average sold
$176.95
-$10.36/cwt over cost on 380 head, so -$55,485 banked.
Market over cost
-$5.31
The market is not paying what these animals cost.
Sold against pace, by head36% of 35% target

By head rather than by pounds, which is what a producer means. 380 head is 35% of the weight, because the lots that went first were not average.

685 unsold64 with no floor151 restingWindow Dec 9, 2026 to Jan 9, 2027

What is under the price

IndexHeadCoveragePremiumNet floorAgainst costEnds
Fed Cattle621$173.13$-5.03$168.10-$19.21
Under cost
Jun 9, 2027
52 week endorsement

The net floor is the coverage price less the premium, because a $6.50 premium on a $240.00 coverage price is a $233.50 floor. And LRP settles on RMA's published index rather than on what these animals bring at the barn: the basis between the two stays with Wade Carver, so this is not a guaranteed sale price and should never be described as one.

The ladder

PriceHeadOver costAwaySell byState
$194.80274+$7.49
$29,116
SoldJun 9, 2026
2 months ago
Hit
$194.80222+$7.49
$23,591
$12.80Aug 9, 2026
15 days ago
Time stop passed
$194.80214+$7.49
$22,740
$12.80Oct 9, 2026
in 46 days
Working
$201.49218+$14.18
$43,846
$19.49Dec 9, 2026
in 4 months
Working

Resting in the market

HeadTriggerAwayExpires
151$192.14$10.14Sep 7, 2026
14d

Lots sold

DateHeadWeightPriceOutlet
Jun 3, 202614913.63 cwt$177.31Nebraska Beef Processors
Cash
Mar 21, 20269214.71 cwt$178.66Great Plains Beef
Cash
Mar 6, 202613914.19 cwt$175.40Nebraska Beef Processors
Cash

A grid lot's price is an estimate until the carcass data comes back, in the same way an HTA with the basis open is on the grain side. Both mean the average on the client's statement moves after the fact.