GrainStrategy

Whitetail Land & Cattle

Wade Carver · Republic County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2025

100k bu at 87% priced · 1,065 head at 36% sold
$3.1M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 28 days2 critical8 other findings(785) 555-1971
64 head has no floor under it. Whether that matters depends on the margin: with the market well over cost of gain it is a risk the desk can live with, and with the market near cost it is the finding that outranks everything else on this page.
Head to market
1,065
380 sold, 36% by head
Sold against pace
36%
Pace target 35% by head.
Head with no floor
64
Unsold, with no endorsement and no forward contract.
On the table
—
Margin over cost of gain in the unsold head, at today's market.

Pen, Sep placement Feedlot

1,065 head at 14.18 cwt · 15,102 cwt total

Needs a callReady in 4 months
64 head has no floor under it with the market at $180.13/cwt

Break-even is $187.31, so there is no margin to give up and nowhere to put these animals while the market recovers. An LRP endorsement floors the index price for a known premium and carries no margin call. It floors the INDEX rather than the sale barn, so the basis between the two stays with the cattle.

Cost of gain
$187.31
$2,656 a head. Estimated.
Market today
$180.13
Feedlot at the outlets this client uses.
Average sold
$175.13
-$12.18/cwt over cost on 380 head, so -$65,222 banked.
Market over cost
-$7.18
The market is not paying what these animals cost.
Sold against pace, by head36% of 35% target

By head rather than by pounds, which is what a producer means. 380 head is 35% of the weight, because the lots that went first were not average.

685 unsold64 with no floor151 restingWindow Feb 25, 2027 to Mar 25, 2027

What is under the price

IndexHeadCoveragePremiumNet floorAgainst costEnds
Fed Cattle621$171.35$-4.98$166.37-$20.94
Under cost
Aug 25, 2027
52 week endorsement

The net floor is the coverage price less the premium, because a $6.50 premium on a $240.00 coverage price is a $233.50 floor. And LRP settles on RMA's published index rather than on what these animals bring at the barn: the basis between the two stays with Wade Carver, so this is not a guaranteed sale price and should never be described as one.

The ladder

PriceHeadOver costAwaySell byState
$194.80274+$7.49
$29,116
SoldAug 25, 2026
61 days ago
Hit
$194.80222+$7.49
$23,591
$14.67Oct 25, 2026
today
Due soon
$194.80214+$7.49
$22,740
$14.67Dec 25, 2026
in 61 days
Working
$199.42218+$12.11
$37,447
$19.29Feb 25, 2027
in 4 months
Working

Resting in the market

HeadTriggerAwayExpires
151$190.17$10.04Nov 23, 2026

Lots sold

DateHeadWeightPriceOutlet
Aug 19, 202614913.63 cwt$175.49Nebraska Beef Processors
Cash
Jun 6, 20269214.71 cwt$176.82Great Plains Beef
Cash
May 22, 202613914.19 cwt$173.60Nebraska Beef Processors
Cash

A grid lot's price is an estimate until the carcass data comes back, in the same way an HTA with the basis open is on the grain side. Both mean the average on the client's statement moves after the fact.