GrainStrategy

Whitetail Land & Cattle

Wade Carver · Republic County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2025

100k bu at 87% priced · 1,065 head at 36% sold
$3.1M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 28 days2 critical8 other findings(785) 555-1971
PositionPlanWorking OrdersSalesBreak-evensLivestockCoverageRecap
800 bu of Wheat is contracted past the insurance guarantee. No further new-crop sales on this crop. Check whether coverage can go up, and if it cannot, tell Wade Carver what the exposure is in bushels. 9 more findings on this family.
Priced
87%
87k bu of 100k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$1.3M
-$84,999 of it over break-even
On the table
$49.5
Margin over cost in 13k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 792 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

344 acres at 110 bu/acre · 38k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.50 is under the $3.52 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 34% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.52
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.50
Board $3.95 with a -$0.45 basis.
Average sold
$3.51
-$0.01 over cost on 31k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.02
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace83% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 31k buInsured 32k bu, typed on the planExpected 38k bu

900 bu left inside the insured bushels.

6,540 bu unpricedStorage 13k bu, 34% of the crop31k bu sold, not hauled

Milo old crop · Dec 2026

329 acres at 118 bu/acre · 39k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.50 is under the $4.10 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 72% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.10
Stated by the client, Jan 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.50
Board $3.95 with a -$0.45 basis.
Average sold
$3.52
-$0.58 over cost on 37k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.60
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace96% of 95% target
1,522 bu unpricedStorage 28k bu, 72% of the crop300 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Belleville Co-op
300 bu$4.28 board$0.33Dec 29, 2026

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

448 acres at 51 bu/acre · 23k bu expected

Needs a call
800 bu is forward contracted past the insurance guarantee

The Revenue Protection guarantee covers 17k bu. Everything above that carries production risk: a short crop has to be bought back, and a short crop and a rally arrive together. No further new-crop sales until the crop is closer to made or coverage goes up.

Break-even
$5.30
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$5.31
Board $5.90 with a -$0.59 basis.
Average sold
$5.43
+$0.13 over cost on 18k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.01
$49 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace78% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 18k buInsured 17k bu, typed on the planExpected 23k bu

800 bu sold past the insured bushels.

4,948 bu unpricedStorage 16k bu, 68% of the crop18k bu sold, not hauled1,500 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Belleville Co-op
1,500 bu$6.08 board$0.18Dec 18, 2026

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.