GrainStrategy

Rock Creek Ranch

Kirby Boone · Republic County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2021

63k bu at 76% priced · 1,840 head at 18% sold
$4.7M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 3 months1 critical8 other findings(785) 555-8979
The figures below are computed from the desk's records and are the same figures the drafter is handed. The model writes the prose around them and does no arithmetic at all, because a wrong number in a recap is a misrepresentation to a family rather than a bug. If the drafter is unavailable the facts are still here, and the facts are the part that has to be right.

The position, as the family will read it

Expected production
63k bu
Priced
76%
48k bu · plan wants 72% by now
Revenue locked
$1,068,719
$111,998 over cost
Still unpriced
15k bu
Worth $3,670,889 at today's bids and markets, plus 1,516 head
CropPricedAverage receivedCost of productionMade over cost
Soybeans (new crop)16k bu$10.93$9.27+$1.66
$27,192
Soybeans (old crop)24k bu$11.12$10.53+$0.59
$13,850
Wheat (new crop)7,800 bu$6.03$5.58+$0.45
$3,488

Livestock, in head and hundredweight

GroupHeadSoldAverage receivedCost of gainMade over costFloor
2026 calf crop
Cow / Calf
265178$246.52$150.29$96.23$241.81
Pen, Feb placement
Feedlot
1,575146$182.72$194.25$-11.53$158.72

Percent sold on livestock is BY HEAD, and it is never comparable to the grain percentage above. A floor is net of the premium paid, and it floors RMA's published index rather than what the animals bring at the barn.

The note to send

Nothing drafted yet. The drafter is handed the figures above and asked to explain them, and it is told not to calculate, forecast, or tell the family what to do.

The drafter is given computed figures and forbidden from doing arithmetic, deriving anything, or implying a market forecast. Nobody on this desk knows where the board is going, and a recap that hints otherwise is the one document that could make a family's loss the desk's fault.

A recap is not a recommendation to the family. The advisor recommends, the family decides, and the language is written that way on purpose.