GrainStrategy

Pawnee Ridge Farms

Cole Larsen · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019

680k bu at 72% priced
$4.5M under management
Price to the planCosts from their booksLast spoke in 39 days5 other findings(785) 555-7036
Every rung on every ladder clears this family's cost of production plus the desk's $0.10 cushion, and nothing has passed its sell-by date. The plan is doing its job.

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

Break-even $5.14 · cash bid $5.30 · 40% priced against a 80% pace

Ladder covers 80% of the crop
RungPriceOver costTrancheAway from the bidSell byState
1$5.41+$0.2715%
36k bu
FilledJul 25, 2026
3 months ago
Window Feb-May
Hit
2$5.68+$0.5422%
53k bu
FilledSep 25, 2026
30 days ago
Window Feb-May
Hit
3$6.01+$0.8719%
46k bu
$0.71Nov 25, 2026
in 31 days
Window Feb-May
Working
4$6.27+$1.1324%
58k bu
$0.97Jan 25, 2027
in 3 months
Window Feb-May
Working

Wheat old crop · Dec 2026

Break-even $5.60 · cash bid $4.92 · 97% priced against a 95% pace

Ladder covers 50% of the crop
RungPriceOver costTrancheAway from the bidSell byState
1$5.85+$0.2515%
39k bu
FilledOct 25, 2026
today
Window Feb-May
Hit
2$6.21+$0.6117%
44k bu
FilledDec 25, 2026
in 61 days
Window Feb-May
Hit
3$6.49+$0.8918%
47k bu
FilledFeb 25, 2027
in 4 months
Window Feb-May
Hit

Soybeans new crop · Nov 2026

Break-even $9.91 · cash bid $10.46 · 79% priced against a 80% pace

Ladder covers 55% of the crop
RungPriceOver costTrancheAway from the bidSell byState
1$10.45+$0.5415%
27k bu
FilledJul 25, 2026
3 months ago
Window Feb-May
Hit
2$10.85+$0.9416%
29k bu
FilledSep 25, 2026
30 days ago
Window Feb-May
Hit
3$11.46+$1.5524%
43k bu
FilledNov 25, 2026
in 31 days
Window Feb-May
Hit

Rungs are sorted by price rather than by the order they were entered, because a scale-up ladder only reads as a ladder in price order. Distance is measured from the cash bid, which is the board plus the local basis, not from the board alone.

A rung that filled before its date is done rather than overdue. The desk's cushion over break-even is $0.10, because a break-even is itself an estimate and pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar. On this crop that means a rung has to clear $5.24 to count as clearing cost.