Pawnee Ridge Farms
Cole Larsen · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019
680k bu at 67% priced
$4.7M under management
Price to the planCosts from their booksLast spoke in 54 days1 critical4 other findings(785) 555-7036
Every break-even on this account came out of Cole Larsen's own books and is current. That is the strongest footing a marketing plan can have: the cost side is measured rather than remembered, so the margins on the other tabs mean what they say.
From their books
100%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
2 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
Yes
Costs arrive from their own books and update when they do.
Cost of production, by crop
| Crop | Break-even | Source | As of | Expected | Cost of the crop | Cash bid over cost | Trusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wheat new crop · 5,012 acres at 48 bu | $5.14 | Their books | Jun 9, 2026 2 months old | 241k bu | $1,236,561 $247/acre | +$0.61 bid $5.75 | Yes |
| Wheat old crop · 5,002 acres at 52 bu | $5.60 | Their books | Jun 9, 2026 2 months old | 260k bu | $1,456,582 $291/acre | -$0.40 bid $5.20 | Yes |
| Soybeans new crop · 3,742 acres at 48 bu | $9.91 | Their books | Aug 9, 2026 | 180k bu | $1,779,995 $476/acre | +$0.87 bid $10.78 | Yes |
The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.
Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.