Pawnee Ridge Farms

Cole Larsen · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019

680k bu at 72% priced

$4.5M under management

Price to the planCosts from their booksLast spoke in 39 days5 other findings(785) 555-7036

Position Plan Working Orders Sales Break-evens Livestock Coverage Recap

96k bu of Wheat contracted with no insurance schedule on file. Get the Revenue Protection schedule on file. Until then every contracted bushel is production risk. 4 more findings on this family.

Priced

72%

490k bu of 680k bu · pace 80%

Revenue locked

$3.3M

-$37,357 of it over break-even

On the table

$44K

Margin over cost in 191k bu unpriced, at today's bids.

Reading

Hold

3 live crops across 8,754 acres.

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

5,012 acres at 48 bu/acre · 241k bu expected

Hold

96k bu of new crop is contracted with no insurance guarantee on file

Forward sales are being screened against nothing. Get the Revenue Protection schedule on file, or treat every contracted bushel as production risk until it is.

Break-even

$5.14

From their books, Aug 25, 2026.

Cash bid today

$5.30

Board $5.90 with a -$0.60 basis.

Average sold

$5.36

+$0.22 over cost on 96k bu.

Bid over cost

+$0.16

$23,212 across the unpriced bushels.

Priced against pace40% of 80% target

145k bu unpricedStorage 99k bu, 41% of the crop96k bu sold, not hauled64k bu restingNo insurance schedule on file

Resting in the market

Instrument	Bushels	Trigger	Away	Expires
Cash Concordia Grain	36k bu	$5.99 board	$0.09	Dec 12, 2026
Forward/HTA Concordia Grain	27k bu	$5.61 cash	$0.31	Jan 1, 2027

Wheat old crop · Dec 2026

5,002 acres at 52 bu/acre · 260k bu expected

Hold

Cash bid $4.92 is under the $5.60 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 56% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even

$5.60

From their books, Aug 25, 2026.

Cash bid today

$4.92

Board $5.52 with a -$0.60 basis.

Average sold

$5.03

-$0.57 over cost on 252k bu.

Bid over cost

-$0.68

The market is not paying this family's cost right now.

Priced against pace97% of 95% target

7,804 bu unpricedStorage 145k bu, 56% of the crop1,300 bu resting

Resting in the market

Instrument	Bushels	Trigger	Away	Expires
Forward/HTA Concordia Grain	1,300 bu	$5.94 cash	$1.02	Jan 14, 2027

Soybeans new crop · Nov 2026

3,742 acres at 48 bu/acre · 180k bu expected

Hold

142k bu of new crop is contracted with no insurance guarantee on file

Forward sales are being screened against nothing. Get the Revenue Protection schedule on file, or treat every contracted bushel as production risk until it is.

Break-even

$9.91

From their books, Oct 25, 2026.

Cash bid today

$10.46

Board $10.86 with a -$0.40 basis.

Average sold

$10.50

+$0.59 over cost on 142k bu.

Bid over cost

+$0.55

$20,799 across the unpriced bushels.

Priced against pace79% of 80% target

38k bu unpricedStorage 59k bu, 33% of the crop142k bu sold, not hauled9,200 bu restingNo insurance schedule on file

Resting in the market

Instrument	Bushels	Trigger	Away	Expires
Forward/HTA Concordia Grain	5,200 bu	$10.56 cash	$0.10	Good til canceled
Forward/HTA Concordia Grain	4,000 bu	$10.80 cash	$0.34	Nov 20, 2026

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.