GrainStrategy

Goose Creek Ag

Cole Foss · Smith County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019

121k bu at 67% priced
$559.2K under management
Call before pricingCosts from their booksLast spoke in 19 days1 critical2 other findings(785) 555-9618
Every break-even on this account came out of Cole Foss's own books and is current. That is the strongest footing a marketing plan can have: the cost side is measured rather than remembered, so the margins on the other tabs mean what they say.
From their books
100%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
2 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
Yes
Costs arrive from their own books and update when they do.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Milo
new crop · 383 acres at 90 bu
$4.26Their booksAug 9, 202634k bu$146,842
$383/acre
-$0.43
bid $3.83
Yes
Milo
old crop · 318 acres at 85 bu
$3.78Their booksJun 9, 2026
2 months old
27k bu$102,173
$321/acre
-$0.09
bid $3.69
Yes
Wheat
new crop · 680 acres at 42 bu
$4.82Their booksJul 9, 2026
1 month old
29k bu$137,659
$202/acre
+$0.90
bid $5.72
Yes
Wheat
old crop · 607 acres at 51 bu
$5.31Their booksJul 9, 2026
1 month old
31k bu$164,382
$271/acre
-$0.14
bid $5.17
Yes

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.