Goose Creek Ag
Cole Foss · Smith County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019
121k bu at 69% priced
$519K under management
Call before pricingCosts from their booksLast spoke in 4 days1 critical6 other findings(785) 555-9618
Every break-even on this account came out of Cole Foss's own books and is current. That is the strongest footing a marketing plan can have: the cost side is measured rather than remembered, so the margins on the other tabs mean what they say.
From their books
100%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
2 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
Yes
Costs arrive from their own books and update when they do.
Cost of production, by crop
| Crop | Break-even | Source | As of | Expected | Cost of the crop | Cash bid over cost | Trusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo new crop · 383 acres at 90 bu | $4.26 | Their books | Oct 25, 2026 | 34k bu | $146,842 $383/acre | -$0.80 bid $3.46 | Yes |
| Milo old crop · 318 acres at 85 bu | $3.78 | Their books | Aug 25, 2026 2 months old | 27k bu | $102,173 $321/acre | -$0.32 bid $3.46 | Yes |
| Wheat new crop · 680 acres at 42 bu | $4.82 | Their books | Sep 25, 2026 1 month old | 29k bu | $137,659 $202/acre | +$0.45 bid $5.27 | Yes |
| Wheat old crop · 607 acres at 51 bu | $5.31 | Their books | Sep 25, 2026 1 month old | 31k bu | $164,382 $271/acre | -$0.42 bid $4.89 | Yes |
The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.
Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.