Goose Creek Ag
Cole Foss · Smith County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019
Call before pricingCosts from their booksLast spoke in 4 days1 critical6 other findings(785) 555-9618
Wheat time stop passed 30 days ago on a 21% tranche. Price 5,998 bu at $5.27, which is $2,699 over cost, or agree a new date with Cole Foss and write it down.
6 more findings on this family.
Priced
83k bu of 121k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
-$30,117 of it over break-even
On the table
Margin over cost in 38k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
4 live crops across 1,063 acres.
Milo new crop · Dec 2026
383 acres at 90 bu/acre · 34k bu expected
Cash bid $3.46 is under the $4.26 break-even
No forced sales. Storage covers 62% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.
Break-even
From their books, Oct 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
Board $3.95 with a -$0.49 basis.
Average sold
-$0.71 over cost on 25k bu.
Bid over cost
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace73% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 25k buInsured 26k bu, typed on the planExpected 34k bu
700 bu left inside the insured bushels.
9,270 bu unpricedStorage 21k bu, 62% of the crop8,400 bu basis open25k bu sold, not hauled2,900 bu resting
Resting in the market
| Instrument | Bushels | Trigger | Away | Expires |
|---|
| Forward/HTA Smith Center Feeders | 1,700 bu | $4.28 board | $0.33 | Dec 20, 2026 |
| Forward/HTA Smith Center Feeders | 1,200 bu | $4.29 board | $0.34 | Jan 23, 2027 |
Milo old crop · Dec 2026
318 acres at 85 bu/acre · 27k bu expected
Cash bid $3.46 is under the $3.78 break-even
No forced sales. Storage covers 33% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.
Break-even
From their books, Aug 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
Board $3.95 with a -$0.49 basis.
Average sold
-$0.42 over cost on 19k bu.
Bid over cost
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace69% of 95% target
8,430 bu unpricedStorage 8,800 bu, 33% of the crop19k bu sold, not hauled3,100 bu resting
Resting in the market
| Instrument | Bushels | Trigger | Away | Expires |
|---|
| Forward/HTA Smith Center Feeders | 1,500 bu | $4.01 cash | $0.55 | Good til canceled |
| Forward/HTA Smith Center Feeders | 1,600 bu | $4.01 cash | $0.55 | Dec 26, 2026 |
Wheat new crop · Jul 2027
680 acres at 42 bu/acre · 29k bu expected
Time stop passed: the 21% tranche was due 2026-09-25
The plan prices this tranche on the calendar rather than the market, so unpriced grain does not ride into delivery. Today's cash bid is $5.27 against a $4.82 break-even.
5,998 bu at $5.27 banks $2,699 over break-even.
Break-even
From their books, Sep 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
Board $5.90 with a -$0.63 basis.
Average sold
+$0.63 over cost on 9,400 bu.
Bid over cost
$8,622 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace33% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 9,400 buInsured 21k bu, typed on the planExpected 29k bu
12k bu left inside the insured bushels.
19k bu unpricedStorage 18k bu, 64% of the crop9,400 bu sold, not hauled3,000 bu resting
Resting in the market
| Instrument | Bushels | Trigger | Away | Expires |
|---|
| Cash Smith Center Feeders | 3,000 bu | $6.23 board | $0.33 | Dec 23, 2026 |
Wheat old crop · Dec 2026
607 acres at 51 bu/acre · 31k bu expected
Cash bid $4.89 is under the $5.31 break-even
No forced sales. Storage covers 96% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.
Break-even
From their books, Sep 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
Board $5.52 with a -$0.63 basis.
Average sold
-$0.34 over cost on 30k bu.
Bid over cost
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace97% of 95% target
957 bu unpricedStorage 30k bu, 96% of the crop7,300 bu sold, not hauled400 bu resting
Resting in the market
| Instrument | Bushels | Trigger | Away | Expires |
|---|
| Forward/HTA Smith Center Feeders | 200 bu | $5.63 cash | $0.74 | Jan 12, 2027 |
| Forward/HTA Smith Center Feeders | 200 bu | $5.63 cash | $0.74 | Good til canceled |
Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.