GrainStrategy

Goose Creek Ag

Cole Foss · Smith County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019

121k bu at 67% priced
$559.2K under management
Call before pricingCosts from their booksLast spoke in 19 days1 critical2 other findings(785) 555-9618
Wheat time stop passed 46 days ago on a 21% tranche. Price 5,998 bu at $5.72, which is $5,398 over cost, or agree a new date with Cole Foss and write it down. 2 more findings on this family.
Priced
67%
81k bu of 121k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$364.9K
-$6,274 of it over break-even
On the table
$19.3K
Margin over cost in 40k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
4 live crops across 1,063 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

383 acres at 90 bu/acre · 34k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.83 is under the $4.26 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 62% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.26
From their books, Aug 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.83
Board $4.05 with a -$0.22 basis.
Average sold
$3.92
-$0.34 over cost on 25k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.43
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace73% of 72% target
9,270 bu unpricedStorage 21k bu, 62% of the crop8,400 bu basis open25k bu sold, not hauled2,900 bu resting700 bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
1,700 bu$4.38 board$0.33Oct 4, 2026
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
1,200 bu$4.39 board$0.34Nov 7, 2026

Milo old crop · Sep 2026

318 acres at 85 bu/acre · 27k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.69 is under the $3.78 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 33% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.78
From their books, Jun 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.69
Board $3.91 with a -$0.22 basis.
Average sold
$3.59
-$0.19 over cost on 19k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.09
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace69% of 95% target
8,430 bu unpricedStorage 8,800 bu, 33% of the crop19k bu sold, not hauled3,100 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
1,500 bu$4.01 cash$0.32Good til canceled
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
1,600 bu$4.01 cash$0.32Oct 10, 2026

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

680 acres at 42 bu/acre · 29k bu expected

Needs a call
Time stop passed: the 21% tranche was due 2026-07-09

The plan prices this tranche on the calendar rather than the market, so unpriced grain does not ride into delivery. Today's cash bid is $5.72 against a $4.82 break-even.

5,998 bu at $5.72 banks $5,398 over break-even.

Break-even
$4.82
From their books, Jul 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.72
Board $6.01 with a -$0.29 basis.
Average sold
$5.90
+$1.08 over cost on 7,100 bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.90
$19,314 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace25% of 72% target
21k bu unpricedStorage 18k bu, 64% of the crop7,100 bu sold, not hauled3,300 bu resting14k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
3,300 bu$6.34 board$0.33Oct 7, 2026

Wheat old crop · Sep 2026

607 acres at 51 bu/acre · 31k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $5.17 is under the $5.31 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 96% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$5.31
From their books, Jul 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.17
Board $5.46 with a -$0.29 basis.
Average sold
$5.25
-$0.06 over cost on 30k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.14
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace97% of 95% target
957 bu unpricedStorage 30k bu, 96% of the crop7,300 bu sold, not hauled400 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
200 bu$5.63 cash$0.46Oct 27, 2026
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
200 bu$5.63 cash$0.46Good til canceled

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.