GrainStrategy

North Fork Ag

Dana Rasmussen · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2021

174k bu at 78% priced · 2,282 head at 6% sold
$1.6M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 20 days1 critical7 other findings(785) 555-8300
The figures below are computed from the desk's records and are the same figures the drafter is handed. The model writes the prose around them and does no arithmetic at all, because a wrong number in a recap is a misrepresentation to a family rather than a bug. If the drafter is unavailable the facts are still here, and the facts are the part that has to be right.

The position, as the family will read it

Expected production
174k bu
Priced
78%
135k bu · plan wants 72% by now
Revenue locked
$821,197
$61,530 over cost
Still unpriced
39k bu
Worth $764,516 at today's bids and markets, plus 2,135 head
CropPricedAverage receivedCost of productionMade over cost
Soybeans (new crop)15k bu$10.44$10.29+$0.15
$2,218
Soybeans (old crop)19k bu$10.39$9.36+$1.03
$20,014
Corn (new crop)52k bu$4.37$3.85+$0.52
$27,026
Corn (old crop)50k bu$4.15$3.93+$0.22
$10,832

Livestock, in head and hundredweight

GroupHeadSoldAverage receivedCost of gainMade over costFloor
Finishing barn, Jul turn
Hog
2,282147$93.38$89.58$3.81$85.54

Percent sold on livestock is BY HEAD, and it is never comparable to the grain percentage above. A floor is net of the premium paid, and it floors RMA's published index rather than what the animals bring at the barn.

The note to send

Nothing drafted yet. The drafter is handed the figures above and asked to explain them, and it is told not to calculate, forecast, or tell the family what to do.

The drafter is given computed figures and forbidden from doing arithmetic, deriving anything, or implying a market forecast. Nobody on this desk knows where the board is going, and a recap that hints otherwise is the one document that could make a family's loss the desk's fault.

A recap is not a recommendation to the family. The advisor recommends, the family decides, and the language is written that way on purpose.