GrainStrategy

Harvest Moon Ag

Ross Hastings · Cloud County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2022

296k bu at 66% priced · 3,256 head at 8% sold
$9.6M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 15 days1 critical7 other findings(785) 555-6132
1 break-even is more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on that crop is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting Ross Hastings onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
9 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Soybeans
new crop · 1,286 acres at 52 bu
$9.89County estimateFeb 9, 2026
6 months old
67k bu$661,364
$514/acre
+$0.98
bid $10.87
With a caveat
Wheat
new crop · 2,187 acres at 57 bu
$5.63Stated on a callNov 9, 2025
9 months old
125k bu$701,830
$321/acre
+$0.28
bid $5.91
Out of date
Wheat
old crop · 1,765 acres at 59 bu
$5.53County estimateAug 9, 2026104k bu$575,867
$326/acre
-$0.17
bid $5.36
With a caveat

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.