GrainStrategy

Buffalo Gap Farms

Beth Jansen · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2021

629k bu at 63% priced · 3,739 head at 0% sold
$12M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 37 days1 critical7 other findings(785) 555-3080
The figures below are computed from the desk's records and are the same figures the drafter is handed. The model writes the prose around them and does no arithmetic at all, because a wrong number in a recap is a misrepresentation to a family rather than a bug. If the drafter is unavailable the facts are still here, and the facts are the part that has to be right.

The position, as the family will read it

Expected production
629k bu
Priced
63%
398k bu · plan wants 72% by now
Revenue locked
$1,583,336
$4,585 over cost
Still unpriced
231k bu
Worth $10,397,379 at today's bids and markets, plus 3,739 head
CropPricedAverage receivedCost of productionMade over cost
Milo (new crop)53k bu$3.89$3.98-$0.09
-$4,772
Milo (old crop)97k bu$3.78$3.48+$0.30
$29,412
Corn (new crop)117k bu$4.24$3.79+$0.45
$52,247
Corn (old crop)131k bu$3.93$4.48-$0.55
-$72,302

Livestock, in head and hundredweight

GroupHeadSoldAverage receivedCost of gainMade over costFloor
Pen, Jul placement
Feedlot
3,7390$175.13$161.73

Percent sold on livestock is BY HEAD, and it is never comparable to the grain percentage above. A floor is net of the premium paid, and it floors RMA's published index rather than what the animals bring at the barn.

The note to send

Nothing drafted yet. The drafter is handed the figures above and asked to explain them, and it is told not to calculate, forecast, or tell the family what to do.

The drafter is given computed figures and forbidden from doing arithmetic, deriving anything, or implying a market forecast. Nobody on this desk knows where the board is going, and a recap that hints otherwise is the one document that could make a family's loss the desk's fault.

A recap is not a recommendation to the family. The advisor recommends, the family decides, and the language is written that way on purpose.