GrainStrategy

Buffalo Gap Farms

Beth Jansen · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2021

629k bu at 63% priced · 3,739 head at 0% sold
$12M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 37 days1 critical7 other findings(785) 555-3080
Pen, Jul placement time stop passed 76 days ago on a 855 head lot. Move 855 head at $182.00/cwt, which is $81,755 over cost, or agree a new date with Beth Jansen and write it down. 7 more findings on this family.
Priced
63%
398k bu of 629k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$1.6M
$4,585 of it over break-even
On the table
$394.8K
Margin over cost in 231k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
4 live crops across 2,879 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

1,291 acres at 91 bu/acre · 117k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.86 is under the $3.98 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 46% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.98
Stated by the client, Mar 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.86
Board $4.05 with a -$0.19 basis.
Average sold
$3.89
-$0.09 over cost on 53k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.12
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace45% of 72% target
65k bu unpricedStorage 54k bu, 46% of the crop15k bu basis open53k bu sold, not hauled16k bu resting35k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Concordia Grain
16k bu$4.22 cash$0.36Oct 12, 2026

Milo old crop · Sep 2026

1,195 acres at 88 bu/acre · 105k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 93% sold at $3.78 average, $0.30/bu over break-even

Cash bid $3.72 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$3.48
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.72
Board $3.91 with a -$0.19 basis.
Average sold
$3.78
+$0.30 over cost on 97k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.24
$1,862 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace93% of 95% target
7,760 bu unpricedStorage 43k bu, 41% of the crop52k bu basis open13k bu sold, not hauled2,500 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Concordia Grain
1,400 bu$3.98 cash$0.26Sep 18, 2026
Forward/HTA
Concordia Grain
1,100 bu$4.31 board$0.40Good til canceled

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

1,588 acres at 127 bu/acre · 202k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 58% sold at $4.24 average, $0.45/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.21 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$3.79
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.21
Board $4.44 with a -$0.23 basis.
Average sold
$4.24
+$0.45 over cost on 117k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.42
$35,438 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace58% of 72% target
84k bu unpricedStorage 124k bu, 61% of the crop117k bu sold, not hauled24k bu safe to contract

Corn old crop · Sep 2026

1,419 acres at 144 bu/acre · 204k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.04 is under the $4.48 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 42% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.48
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.04
Board $4.27 with a -$0.23 basis.
Average sold
$3.93
-$0.55 over cost on 131k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.44
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace64% of 95% target
74k bu unpricedStorage 85k bu, 42% of the crop47k bu sold, not hauled

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.