GrainStrategy

Buffalo Gap Farms

Beth Jansen · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2021

629k bu at 63% priced · 3,739 head at 0% sold
$12M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 37 days1 critical7 other findings(785) 555-3080
1 break-even is more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on that crop is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting Beth Jansen onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
7 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Milo
new crop · 1,291 acres at 91 bu
$3.98Stated on a callMar 9, 2026
5 months old
117k bu$467,574
$362/acre
-$0.12
bid $3.86
With a caveat
Milo
old crop · 1,195 acres at 88 bu
$3.48County estimateJun 9, 2026
2 months old
105k bu$365,957
$306/acre
+$0.24
bid $3.72
With a caveat
Corn
new crop · 1,588 acres at 127 bu
$3.79County estimateFeb 9, 2026
6 months old
202k bu$764,352
$481/acre
+$0.42
bid $4.21
With a caveat
Corn
old crop · 1,419 acres at 144 bu
$4.48County estimateJan 9, 2026
7 months old
204k bu$915,425
$645/acre
-$0.44
bid $4.04
Out of date

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.