GrainStrategy

Smoky Hill Acres

Dell Ostrander · Smith County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2016

42k bu at 85% priced
$279.7K under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 63 days10 other findings(785) 555-8594
2,200 bu of Soybeans is due at Mankato Elevator in 7 days. Confirm with Dell Ostrander that the bushels are in the bin and the trucking is arranged for Nov 2026. 9 more findings on this family.
Priced
85%
36k bu of 42k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$239.2K
-$6,453 of it over break-even
On the table
$39.5
Margin over cost in 6,425 bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Hold
3 live crops across 420 acres.

Soybeans new crop · Nov 2026

239 acres at 37 bu/acre · 8,843 bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $10.34 is under the $11.05 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 42% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$11.05
Stated by the client, Apr 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$10.34
Board $10.86 with a -$0.52 basis.
Average sold
$10.36
-$0.69 over cost on 6,900 bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.71
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace78% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 6,900 buInsured 7,100 bu, typed on the planExpected 8,843 bu

200 bu left inside the insured bushels.

1,943 bu unpricedStorage 3,700 bu, 42% of the crop6,900 bu sold, not hauled500 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Mankato Elevator
500 bu$10.95 board$0.09Good til canceled

Soybeans old crop · Nov 2026

212 acres at 44 bu/acre · 9,328 bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $10.34 is under the $10.58 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 28% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$10.58
Stated by the client, Oct 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$10.34
Board $10.86 with a -$0.52 basis.
Average sold
$10.28
-$0.30 over cost on 8,800 bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.24
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace94% of 95% target
528 bu unpricedStorage 2,600 bu, 28% of the crop4,000 bu sold, not hauled100 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Mankato Elevator
100 bu$11.21 cash$0.87Dec 26, 2026

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

181 acres at 134 bu/acre · 24k bu expected

Hold
20k bu of new crop is contracted with no insurance guarantee on file

Forward sales are being screened against nothing. Get the Revenue Protection schedule on file, or treat every contracted bushel as production risk until it is.

Break-even
$3.76
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.77
Board $4.31 with a -$0.54 basis.
Average sold
$3.81
+$0.05 over cost on 20k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.01
$40 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace84% of 80% target
3,954 bu unpricedStorage 13k bu, 54% of the crop20k bu sold, not hauledNo insurance schedule on file

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.