GrainStrategy

Willow Bend Family Farms

Lori Bergen · Washington County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2017

184k bu at 72% priced · 721 head at 83% sold
$2.9M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 43 days8 other findings(785) 555-5545
PositionPlanWorking OrdersSalesBreak-evensLivestockRecap
Holding 1,928 bu of old-crop Soybeans now costs $0.12/bu. Move these bushels. $231 of storage cost over the holding period is the price of continuing to wait. 7 more findings on this family.
Priced
72%
134k bu of 184k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$2.3M
$34,580 of it over break-even
On the table
$21.4K
Margin over cost in 51k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Hold
4 live crops across 1,543 acres.

Soybeans new crop · Nov 2026

656 acres at 53 bu/acre · 35k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $10.74 is only $0.04/bu over the $10.70 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 46% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$10.70
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$10.74
Board $10.88 with a -$0.14 basis.
Average sold
$10.95
+$0.25 over cost on 24k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.04
$435 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace69% of 72% target
11k bu unpricedStorage 16k bu, 46% of the crop24k bu sold, not hauled1,400 bu resting3,900 bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
1,400 bu$11.21 board$0.33Good til canceled

Soybeans old crop · Aug 2026

611 acres at 48 bu/acre · 29k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $10.70 is under the $10.81 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 71% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$10.81
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$10.70
Board $10.84 with a -$0.14 basis.
Average sold
$10.91
+$0.10 over cost on 27k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.11
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace93% of 95% target
1,928 bu unpricedStorage 21k bu, 71% of the crop700 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
500 bu$10.91 board$0.07Oct 13, 2026
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
200 bu$11.02 board$0.18Oct 13, 2026

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

571 acres at 177 bu/acre · 101k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 68% sold at $4.45 average, $0.28/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.39 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$4.17
Stated by the client, Jan 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.39
Board $4.44 with a -$0.05 basis.
Average sold
$4.45
+$0.28 over cost on 69k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.22
$7,121 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace68% of 72% target
32k bu unpricedStorage 39k bu, 39% of the crop24k bu basis open69k bu sold, not hauled2,000 bu safe to contract

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

316 acres at 61 bu/acre · 19k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $5.72 is under the $5.77 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 37% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$5.77
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$5.72
Board $6.01 with a -$0.29 basis.
Average sold
$5.88
+$0.11 over cost on 14k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.05
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace71% of 72% target
5,576 bu unpricedStorage 7,200 bu, 37% of the crop5,400 bu basis open14k bu sold, not hauled800 bu safe to contract

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.