GrainStrategy

Prairie Fire Land & Cattle

Doug Larsen · Republic County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2015

404k bu at 81% priced
$1.6M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 3 months5 other findings(785) 555-3238
Every rung on every ladder clears this family's cost of production plus the desk's $0.10 cushion, and nothing has passed its sell-by date. The plan is doing its job.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

Break-even $4.30 · cash bid $4.13 · 68% priced against a 72% pace

Ladder covers 62% of the cropGuarantee 156k bu
RungPriceOver costTrancheAway from the bidSell byState
1$4.54+$0.2415%
33k bu
FilledMay 9, 2026
4 months ago
Window Feb-May
Hit
2$4.72+$0.4222%
49k bu
FilledJul 9, 2026
46 days ago
Window Feb-May
Hit
3$4.98+$0.6825%
56k bu
FilledSep 9, 2026
in 16 days
Window Feb-May
Hit

Corn old crop · Sep 2026

Break-even $4.43 · cash bid $3.96 · 96% priced against a 95% pace

Ladder covers 73% of the crop
RungPriceOver costTrancheAway from the bidSell byState
1$4.63+$0.2015%
27k bu
FilledAug 9, 2026
15 days ago
Window Feb-May
Hit
2$4.88+$0.4520%
36k bu
FilledOct 9, 2026
in 46 days
Window Feb-May
Hit
3$5.16+$0.7318%
33k bu
FilledDec 9, 2026
in 4 months
Window Feb-May
Hit
4$5.40+$0.9720%
36k bu
FilledFeb 9, 2027
in 6 months
Window Feb-May
Hit

Rungs are sorted by price rather than by the order they were entered, because a scale-up ladder only reads as a ladder in price order. Distance is measured from the cash bid, which is the board plus the local basis, not from the board alone.

A rung that filled before its date is done rather than overdue. The desk's cushion over break-even is $0.10, because a break-even is itself an estimate and pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar. On this crop that means a rung has to clear $4.40 to count as clearing cost.