Prairie Fire Land & Cattle
Doug Larsen · Republic County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2015
404k bu at 81% priced
$1.6M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 3 months5 other findings(785) 555-3238
Corn break-even is 7 months old. Get updated costs from Doug Larsen, or get them onto Farmer Metrics so this stops being a phone call every six months. 4 more findings on this family.
Priced
81%
326k bu of 404k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$1.3M
-$127,221 of it over break-even
On the table
—
Today's bids do not clear this family's cost of production.
Reading
Hold
2 live crops across 1,228 acres.
Corn new crop · Dec 2026
1,228 acres at 181 bu/acre · 222k bu expected
Cash bid $4.13 is under the $4.30 break-even
No forced sales. Storage covers 48% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.
Break-even
$4.30
Stated by the client, Jan 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.13
Board $4.44 with a -$0.31 basis.
Average sold
$4.11
-$0.19 over cost on 151k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.17
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace68% of 72% target
71k bu unpricedStorage 107k bu, 48% of the crop151k bu sold, not hauled4,500 bu safe to contract
Corn old crop · Sep 2026
1,206 acres at 151 bu/acre · 182k bu expected
Cash bid $3.96 is under the $4.43 break-even
No forced sales. Storage covers 66% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.
Break-even
$4.43
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.96
Board $4.27 with a -$0.31 basis.
Average sold
$3.87
-$0.56 over cost on 175k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.47
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace96% of 95% target
7,206 bu unpricedStorage 121k bu, 66% of the crop94k bu basis open2,900 bu resting
Resting in the market
| Instrument | Bushels | Trigger | Away | Expires |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward/HTA Mankato Elevator | 1,100 bu | $4.39 board | $0.12 | Good til canceled |
| Forward/HTA Mankato Elevator | 1,800 bu | $4.70 cash | $0.74 | Aug 14, 2026 -10 days |
Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.