GrainStrategy

Prairie Fire Land & Cattle

Doug Larsen · Republic County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2015

404k bu at 81% priced
$1.5M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 64 days7 other findings(785) 555-3238
82k bu of Corn is due at Mankato Elevator in 37 days. Confirm with Doug Larsen that the bushels are in the bin and the trucking is arranged for Dec 2026. 6 more findings on this family.
Priced
81%
326k bu of 404k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$1.2M
-$214,848 of it over break-even
On the table
—
Today's bids do not clear this family's cost of production.
Reading
Hold
2 live crops across 1,228 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

1,228 acres at 181 bu/acre · 222k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.77 is under the $4.30 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 48% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.30
Stated by the client, Mar 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.77
Board $4.31 with a -$0.54 basis.
Average sold
$3.75
-$0.55 over cost on 151k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.53
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace68% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 151k buInsured 156k bu, typed on the planExpected 222k bu

4,500 bu left inside the insured bushels.

71k bu unpricedStorage 107k bu, 48% of the crop151k bu sold, not hauled

Corn old crop · Dec 2026

1,206 acres at 151 bu/acre · 182k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.77 is under the $4.43 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 66% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.43
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.77
Board $4.31 with a -$0.54 basis.
Average sold
$3.68
-$0.75 over cost on 175k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.66
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace96% of 95% target
7,206 bu unpricedStorage 121k bu, 66% of the crop94k bu basis open2,900 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Mankato Elevator
1,100 bu$4.43 board$0.12Good til canceled
Forward/HTA
Mankato Elevator
1,800 bu$4.70 cash$0.93Oct 30, 2026
5 days

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.