GrainStrategy

Flint Ridge Acres

Cole Larsen · Webster County, NE · Owen Speck · client since 2016

476k bu at 46% priced
$1.8M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 22 days2 critical7 other findings(785) 555-8321
Milo time stop passed 30 days ago on a 22% tranche. Price 48k bu at $3.47, which is $-21,282 over cost, or agree a new date with Cole Larsen and write it down. 8 more findings on this family.
Priced
46%
221k bu of 476k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$888.7K
-$45,397 of it over break-even
On the table
$4K
Margin over cost in 255k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 3,364 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

1,963 acres at 112 bu/acre · 220k bu expected

Needs a call
Time stop passed: the 22% tranche was due 2026-09-25

The plan prices this tranche on the calendar rather than the market, so unpriced grain does not ride into delivery. Today's cash bid is $3.47 against a $3.91 break-even.

48k bu at $3.47 banks -$21,282 over break-even.

Break-even
$3.91
Stated by the client, Aug 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.47
Board $3.95 with a -$0.48 basis.
Average sold
$3.60
-$0.31 over cost on 61k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.44
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace28% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 61k buInsured 154k bu, typed on the planExpected 220k bu

93k bu left inside the insured bushels.

159k bu unpricedStorage 124k bu, 56% of the crop61k bu sold, not hauled

Milo old crop · Dec 2026

1,677 acres at 109 bu/acre · 183k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.47 is under the $4.02 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 58% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.02
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.47
Board $3.95 with a -$0.48 basis.
Average sold
$3.46
-$0.56 over cost on 99k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.55
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace54% of 95% target
84k bu unpricedStorage 105k bu, 58% of the crop35k bu basis open99k bu sold, not hauled

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

1,401 acres at 52 bu/acre · 73k bu expected

Needs a call
9,700 bu is forward contracted past the insurance guarantee

The Revenue Protection guarantee covers 51k bu. Everything above that carries production risk: a short crop has to be bought back, and a short crop and a rally arrive together. No further new-crop sales until the crop is closer to made or coverage goes up.

Break-even
$4.91
Stated by the client, Sep 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.24
Board $5.90 with a -$0.66 basis.
Average sold
$5.38
+$0.47 over cost on 61k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.33
$4,010 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace83% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 61k buInsured 51k bu, typed on the planExpected 73k bu

9,700 bu sold past the insured bushels.

12k bu unpricedStorage 58k bu, 80% of the crop17k bu basis open61k bu sold, not hauled

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.