GrainStrategy

Flint Ridge Acres

Cole Larsen · Webster County, NE · Owen Speck · client since 2016

476k bu at 41% priced
$2M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 37 days2 critical4 other findings(785) 555-8321
Milo time stop passed 46 days ago on a 22% tranche. Price 48k bu at $3.85, which is $-2,902 over cost, or agree a new date with Cole Larsen and write it down. 5 more findings on this family.
Priced
41%
197k bu of 476k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$859.4K
$22,550 of it over break-even
On the table
$14K
Margin over cost in 278k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 3,364 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

1,963 acres at 112 bu/acre · 220k bu expected

Needs a call
Time stop passed: the 22% tranche was due 2026-07-09

The plan prices this tranche on the calendar rather than the market, so unpriced grain does not ride into delivery. Today's cash bid is $3.85 against a $3.91 break-even.

48k bu at $3.85 banks -$2,902 over break-even.

Break-even
$3.91
Stated by the client, Jun 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.85
Board $4.05 with a -$0.20 basis.
Average sold
$3.98
+$0.07 over cost on 44k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.06
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace20% of 72% target
176k bu unpricedStorage 124k bu, 56% of the crop44k bu sold, not hauled110k bu safe to contract

Milo old crop · Sep 2026

1,677 acres at 109 bu/acre · 183k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.71 is under the $4.02 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 58% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.02
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.71
Board $3.91 with a -$0.20 basis.
Average sold
$3.70
-$0.32 over cost on 99k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.31
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace54% of 95% target
84k bu unpricedStorage 105k bu, 58% of the crop35k bu basis open99k bu sold, not hauled

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

1,401 acres at 52 bu/acre · 73k bu expected

Needs a call
3,900 bu is forward contracted past the insurance guarantee

The Revenue Protection guarantee covers 51k bu. Everything above that carries production risk: a short crop has to be bought back, and a short crop and a rally arrive together. No further new-crop sales until the crop is closer to made or coverage goes up.

Break-even
$4.91
Stated by the client, Jul 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.69
Board $6.01 with a -$0.32 basis.
Average sold
$5.83
+$0.92 over cost on 55k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.78
$14,003 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace75% of 72% target
18k bu unpricedStorage 58k bu, 80% of the crop16k bu basis open55k bu sold, not hauled3,900 bu past the guarantee

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.