Lone Oak Ranch
Curt Jansen · Nuckolls County, NE · Wes Tolliver · client since 2015
89k bu at 78% priced
$485.8K under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 30 days1 critical8 other findings(785) 555-2882
2 break-evens are more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on those crops is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting Curt Jansen onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
8 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.
Cost of production, by crop
| Crop | Break-even | Source | As of | Expected | Cost of the crop | Cash bid over cost | Trusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corn new crop · 202 acres at 184 bu | $4.64 | Stated on a call | Mar 9, 2026 5 months old | 37k bu | $172,460 $854/acre | -$0.44 bid $4.20 | With a caveat |
| Corn old crop · 188 acres at 161 bu | $4.08 | County estimate | Dec 9, 2025 8 months old | 30k bu | $123,493 $657/acre | -$0.05 bid $4.03 | Out of date |
| Soybeans new crop · 151 acres at 52 bu | $11.02 | Stated on a call | Feb 9, 2026 6 months old | 7,852 bu | $86,529 $573/acre | -$0.35 bid $10.67 | With a caveat |
| Soybeans old crop · 149 acres at 52 bu | $10.97 | County estimate | Apr 9, 2026 4 months old | 7,748 bu | $84,996 $570/acre | -$0.34 bid $10.63 | With a caveat |
| Wheat new crop · 123 acres at 51 bu | $5.47 | County estimate | Dec 9, 2025 8 months old | 6,273 bu | $34,313 $279/acre | +$0.22 bid $5.69 | Out of date |
The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.
Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.