GrainStrategy

Antelope Flats Grain Co

Wade Cronin · Smith County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2023

140k bu at 83% priced · 1,959 head at 67% sold
$5.3M under management
Call before pricingCosts from their booksLast spoke in 40 days6 other findings(785) 555-9044
Every unsold head on this account has either a floor or a contract behind it. That is the intended state for livestock, because there is no storing an animal while a bad market passes.
Head to market
1,959
1,320 sold, 67% by head
Sold against pace
67%
Pace target 79% by head.
Head with no floor
0
Unsold, with no endorsement and no forward contract.
On the table
$28,868
Margin over cost of gain in the unsold head, at today's market.

2026 calf crop Cow / Calf

129 calves at 5.55 cwt · 716 cwt total

On planReady in 46 days
On pace: 61% sold, market $104.03/cwt over break-even

The next rung is 22 head at $264.63/cwt by 2026-10-09. Let the market come to it.

Cost of gain
$142.16
$789 a head. From their books, Jul 9, 2026.
Market today
$246.19
Cow / Calf at the outlets this client uses.
Average sold
$257.61
+$115.45/cwt over cost on 79 head, so $50,253 banked.
Market over cost
+$104.03
$28,868 across the unsold head.
Sold against pace, by head61% of 65% target

By head rather than by pounds, which is what a producer means. 79 head is 61% of the weight, because the lots that went first were not average.

50 unsold79 sold, not shipped17 restingWindow Oct 9, 2026 to Dec 9, 2026

What is under the price

IndexHeadCoveragePremiumNet floorAgainst costEnds
Feeder Cattle81$187.75$-2.00$185.75+$43.59Jan 9, 2027
34 week endorsement

The net floor is the coverage price less the premium, because a $6.50 premium on a $240.00 coverage price is a $233.50 floor. And LRP settles on RMA's published index rather than on what these animals bring at the barn: the basis between the two stays with Wade Cronin, so this is not a guaranteed sale price and should never be described as one.

The ladder

PriceHeadOver costAwaySell byState
$246.5535+$104.39
$20,277
SoldJun 9, 2026
2 months ago
Hit
$253.1925+$111.03
$15,405
SoldAug 9, 2026
15 days ago
Hit
$264.6322+$122.47
$14,953
$18.44Oct 9, 2026
in 46 days
Working

Resting in the market

HeadTriggerAwayExpires
17$257.49$11.30Good til canceled

Lots sold

DateHeadWeightPriceOutlet
May 8, 2026795.51 cwt$257.61Superior Sale Barn
ForwardNot shipped

Pen, Apr placement Feedlot

1,830 head at 13.45 cwt · 24,614 cwt total

HoldReady in 16 days
Market $182.00/cwt is under the $188.77 break-even

No forced sales. Look at LRP coverage to floor the 589 head still unsold, watch condition and cost of gain, and let the market come to you. Remember the floor is on the published index, not on what they bring at the barn.

Cost of gain
$188.77
$2,539 a head. From their books, Jul 9, 2026.
Market today
$182.00
Feedlot at the outlets this client uses.
Average sold
$178.81
-$9.96/cwt over cost on 1,241 head, so -$162,132 banked.
Market over cost
-$6.77
The market is not paying what these animals cost.
Sold against pace, by head68% of 80% target

By head rather than by pounds, which is what a producer means. 1,241 head is 66% of the weight, because the lots that went first were not average.

589 unsold1,094 on a grid, not settled147 restingWindow Sep 9, 2026 to Nov 9, 2026

What is under the price

IndexHeadCoveragePremiumNet floorAgainst costEnds
Fed Cattle1,171$135.91$-1.52$134.39-$54.38
Under cost
Nov 13, 2026
17 week endorsement

The net floor is the coverage price less the premium, because a $6.50 premium on a $240.00 coverage price is a $233.50 floor. And LRP settles on RMA's published index rather than on what these animals bring at the barn: the basis between the two stays with Wade Cronin, so this is not a guaranteed sale price and should never be described as one.

The ladder

PriceHeadOver costAwaySell byState
$196.40466+$7.63
$47,802
SoldJun 9, 2026
2 months ago
Hit
$196.40444+$7.63
$45,546
SoldAug 9, 2026
15 days ago
Hit
$196.40457+$7.63
$46,879
$14.40Oct 9, 2026
in 46 days
Working

Resting in the market

HeadTriggerAwayExpires
147$185.39$3.39Aug 16, 2026
-8d

Lots sold

DateHeadWeightPriceOutlet
May 3, 202614713.2 cwt$183.17Great Plains Beef
Cash
Apr 7, 202628013.57 cwt$190.50
estimate
Great Plains Beef
Grid
Jan 27, 202681412.94 cwt$173.79
estimate
Great Plains Beef
Grid

A grid lot's price is an estimate until the carcass data comes back, in the same way an HTA with the basis open is on the grain side. Both mean the average on the client's statement moves after the fact.