GrainStrategy

Harvest Moon Land & Cattle

Ross Janzen · Washington County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2019

301k bu at 70% priced
$1.3M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 5 months7 other findings(785) 555-6077
2 break-evens are more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on those crops is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting Ross Janzen onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
8 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Wheat
new crop · 1,554 acres at 50 bu
$4.88County estimateDec 9, 2025
8 months old
78k bu$379,176
$244/acre
+$0.88
bid $5.76
Out of date
Milo
new crop · 1,158 acres at 112 bu
$4.10County estimateAug 9, 2026130k bu$531,754
$459/acre
-$0.22
bid $3.88
With a caveat
Milo
old crop · 975 acres at 96 bu
$3.48County estimateDec 9, 2025
8 months old
94k bu$325,728
$334/acre
+$0.26
bid $3.74
Out of date

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.