GrainStrategy

Painted Sky Family Farms

Beth Ellison · Mitchell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2023

645k bu at 55% priced
$2.5M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 1 day4 other findings(785) 555-2054
97k bu of Corn is due at Concordia Grain in 37 days. Confirm with Beth Ellison that the bushels are in the bin and the trucking is arranged for Dec 2026. 3 more findings on this family.
Priced
55%
357k bu of 645k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$1.4M
-$139,044 of it over break-even
On the table
—
Today's bids do not clear this family's cost of production.
Reading
Hold
2 live crops across 2,268 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

2,268 acres at 154 bu/acre · 349k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.85 is under the $4.50 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 93% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.50
Stated by the client, Jun 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.85
Board $4.31 with a -$0.46 basis.
Average sold
$3.84
-$0.66 over cost on 208k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.65
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace60% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 208k buInsured 297k bu, typed on the planExpected 349k bu

89k bu left inside the insured bushels.

141k bu unpricedStorage 326k bu, 93% of the crop208k bu sold, not hauled

Corn old crop · Dec 2026

2,126 acres at 139 bu/acre · 296k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.85 is under the $3.96 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 55% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.96
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.85
Board $4.31 with a -$0.46 basis.
Average sold
$3.94
-$0.02 over cost on 149k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.11
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace50% of 95% target
147k bu unpricedStorage 161k bu, 55% of the crop71k bu sold, not hauled30k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Concordia Grain
30k bu$4.20 cash$0.35Nov 6, 2026
12 days

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.