GrainStrategy

Painted Sky Family Farms

Beth Ellison · Mitchell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2023

645k bu at 51% priced
$2.7M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 16 days2 other findings(785) 555-2054
30k bu of Corn stops being covered in -3 days. Decide before 2026-08-21 whether to roll it, re-price it, or let it go. Letting it go on purpose is a decision; letting it lapse is not. 1 more findings on this family.
Priced
51%
329k bu of 645k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$1.4M
-$27,536 of it over break-even
On the table
$11.7K
Margin over cost in 315k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Hold
2 live crops across 2,268 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

2,268 acres at 154 bu/acre · 349k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.21 is under the $4.50 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 93% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.50
Stated by the client, Apr 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.21
Board $4.44 with a -$0.23 basis.
Average sold
$4.21
-$0.29 over cost on 180k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.29
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace52% of 72% target
169k bu unpricedStorage 326k bu, 93% of the crop180k bu sold, not hauled117k bu safe to contract

Corn old crop · Sep 2026

2,126 acres at 139 bu/acre · 296k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.04 is only $0.08/bu over the $3.96 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 55% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.96
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.04
Board $4.27 with a -$0.23 basis.
Average sold
$4.13
+$0.17 over cost on 149k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.08
$11,721 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace50% of 95% target
147k bu unpricedStorage 161k bu, 55% of the crop71k bu sold, not hauled30k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Concordia Grain
30k bu$4.35 cash$0.31Aug 21, 2026
-3 days

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.