GrainStrategy

Blue Stem Hollow Family Farms

Hank Grosshans · Webster County, NE · Wes Tolliver · client since 2024

1.2M bu at 72% priced
$5.2M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 47 days5 other findings(785) 555-6595
Corn is 48% sold against a 72% pace with the bid $0.24/bu over cost. Price 101k bu through the elevator, which banks $24,128 over cost with no margin call risk. 4 more findings on this family.
Priced
72%
828k bu of 1.2M bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$3.7M
$81,467 of it over break-even
On the table
$108.1K
Margin over cost in 329k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 7,388 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

2,820 acres at 155 bu/acre · 437k bu expected

Needs a call
Price the next 23%: the bid is $0.24/bu over break-even at 48% sold against a 72% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 350k bu, so 140k bu can be contracted without production risk.

101k bu at $4.20 banks $24,128 over break-even.

Break-even
$3.96
Stated by the client, Jan 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.20
Board $4.44 with a -$0.24 basis.
Average sold
$4.29
+$0.33 over cost on 210k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.24
$54,552 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace48% of 72% target
227k bu unpricedStorage 274k bu, 63% of the crop210k bu sold, not hauled96k bu resting140k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Hebron Farmers Co-op
43k bu$4.22 cash$0.02
Near
Oct 11, 2026
Forward/HTA
Hebron Farmers Co-op
53k bu$4.36 cash$0.16Nov 1, 2026

Corn old crop · Sep 2026

2,597 acres at 168 bu/acre · 436k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.03 is under the $4.38 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 71% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.38
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.03
Board $4.27 with a -$0.24 basis.
Average sold
$4.02
-$0.36 over cost on 411k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.35
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace94% of 95% target
25k bu unpricedStorage 310k bu, 71% of the crop

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

4,568 acres at 62 bu/acre · 283k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 73% sold at $5.78 average, $0.79/bu over break-even

Cash bid $5.69 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung (25% at $6.03).

Break-even
$4.99
Stated by the client, Feb 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.69
Board $6.01 with a -$0.32 basis.
Average sold
$5.78
+$0.79 over cost on 207k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.70
$53,561 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace73% of 72% target
77k bu unpricedStorage 78k bu, 28% of the crop207k bu sold, not hauled5,700 bu safe to contract

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.