GrainStrategy

Blue Stem Hollow Family Farms

Hank Grosshans · Webster County, NE · Wes Tolliver · client since 2024

1.2M bu at 75% priced
$4.9M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 32 days6 other findings(785) 555-6595
Wheat is 73% sold against a 80% pace with the bid $0.25/bu over cost. Price 5,700 bu through the elevator, which banks $1,425 over cost with no margin call risk. 5 more findings on this family.
Priced
75%
863k bu of 1.2M bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$3.6M
-$166,378 of it over break-even
On the table
$19.1K
Margin over cost in 294k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 7,388 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

2,820 acres at 155 bu/acre · 437k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.84 is under the $3.96 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 63% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.96
Stated by the client, Mar 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.84
Board $4.31 with a -$0.47 basis.
Average sold
$3.93
-$0.03 over cost on 245k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.12
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace56% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 245k buInsured 350k bu, typed on the planExpected 437k bu

105k bu left inside the insured bushels.

192k bu unpricedStorage 274k bu, 63% of the crop245k bu sold, not hauled81k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Hebron Farmers Co-op
45k bu$4.20 cash$0.36Jan 17, 2027
Forward/HTA
Hebron Farmers Co-op
36k bu$4.20 cash$0.36Dec 27, 2026

Corn old crop · Dec 2026

2,597 acres at 168 bu/acre · 436k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.84 is under the $4.38 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 71% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.38
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$3.84
Board $4.31 with a -$0.47 basis.
Average sold
$3.83
-$0.55 over cost on 411k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.54
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace94% of 95% target
25k bu unpricedStorage 310k bu, 71% of the crop

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

4,568 acres at 62 bu/acre · 283k bu expected

Needs a call
Price the next 25%: the bid is $0.25/bu over break-even at 73% sold against a 80% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 212k bu, so 5,700 bu can be contracted without production risk.

5,700 bu at $5.24 banks $1,425 over break-even.

Break-even
$4.99
Stated by the client, Apr 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.24
Board $5.90 with a -$0.66 basis.
Average sold
$5.33
+$0.34 over cost on 207k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.25
$19,129 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace73% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 207k buInsured 212k bu, typed on the planExpected 283k bu

5,700 bu left inside the insured bushels.

77k bu unpricedStorage 78k bu, 28% of the crop207k bu sold, not hauled

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.