GrainStrategy

Ash Hollow Farms

Peg Dahlke · Clay County, KS · Danae Kruse · client since 2015

412k bu at 61% priced · 354 head at 97% sold
$2.2M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 14 days1 critical6 other findings(785) 555-4281
11 head has no floor under it. Whether that matters depends on the margin: with the market well over cost of gain it is a risk the desk can live with, and with the market near cost it is the finding that outranks everything else on this page.
Head to market
354
343 sold, 97% by head
Sold against pace
97%
Pace target 95% by head.
Head with no floor
11
Unsold, with no endorsement and no forward contract.
On the table
$5,788
Margin over cost of gain in the unsold head, at today's market.

2026 calf crop Cow / Calf

354 calves at 5.77 cwt · 2,043 cwt total

On planMarketable now
On pace: 97% sold, market $91.20/cwt over break-even

Set the next rung on the ladder so the market has a standing order to hit.

Cost of gain
$139.51
$805 a head. Estimated.
Market today
$230.71
Cow / Calf at the outlets this client uses.
Average sold
$229.81
+$90.29/cwt over cost on 343 head, so $176,207 banked.
Market over cost
+$91.20
$5,788 across the unsold head.
Sold against pace, by head97% of 95% target

By head rather than by pounds, which is what a producer means. 343 head is 96% of the weight, because the lots that went first were not average.

11 unsold11 with no floorWindow Oct 25, 2026 to Dec 25, 2026

What is under the price

No LRP endorsement on this group. With grain the fallback is a bin; here there is none, so an unsold head with no floor is exposed to whatever the market does between now and the day it has to move.

The net floor is the coverage price less the premium, because a $6.50 premium on a $240.00 coverage price is a $233.50 floor. And LRP settles on RMA's published index rather than on what these animals bring at the barn: the basis between the two stays with Peg Dahlke, so this is not a guaranteed sale price and should never be described as one.

The ladder

PriceHeadOver costAwaySell byState
$231.8569+$92.34
$36,761
SoldAug 25, 2026
61 days ago
Hit
$237.5369+$98.02
$39,023
SoldOct 25, 2026
today
Hit

Lots sold

DateHeadWeightPriceOutlet
Aug 7, 20262045.58 cwt$226.83Superior Sale Barn
Forward
May 31, 20261395.85 cwt$233.98Heartland Video Auction
Cash

A grid lot's price is an estimate until the carcass data comes back, in the same way an HTA with the basis open is on the grain side. Both mean the average on the client's statement moves after the fact.