GrainStrategy

Ash Hollow Farms

Peg Dahlke · Clay County, KS · Danae Kruse · client since 2015

412k bu at 57% priced · 354 head at 67% sold
$2.3M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 29 days5 other findings(785) 555-4281
Holding 111k bu of old-crop Corn now costs $0.18/bu. Move these bushels. $19,968 of storage cost over the holding period is the price of continuing to wait. 4 more findings on this family.
Priced
57%
234k bu of 412k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$1.4M
$203,898 of it over break-even
On the table
$84.6K
Margin over cost in 178k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Hold
2 live crops across 1,236 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

1,236 acres at 176 bu/acre · 218k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 69% sold at $4.60 average, $0.39/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.39 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$4.21
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.39
Board $4.44 with a -$0.05 basis.
Average sold
$4.60
+$0.39 over cost on 151k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.18
$12,012 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace69% of 72% target
67k bu unpricedStorage 152k bu, 70% of the crop151k bu sold, not hauled17k bu resting12k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
17k bu$4.57 cash$0.18Aug 15, 2026
-9 days

Corn old crop · Sep 2026

1,118 acres at 174 bu/acre · 195k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.22 is under the $4.31 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 27% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.31
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.22
Board $4.27 with a -$0.05 basis.
Average sold
$4.35
+$0.04 over cost on 84k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.09
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace43% of 95% target
111k bu unpricedStorage 53k bu, 27% of the crop53k bu sold, not hauled32k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
32k bu$4.57 cash$0.35Sep 14, 2026

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.