GrainStrategy

Ash Hollow Farms

Peg Dahlke · Clay County, KS · Danae Kruse · client since 2015

412k bu at 61% priced · 354 head at 97% sold
$2.2M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 14 days1 critical6 other findings(785) 555-4281
PositionPlanWorking OrdersSalesBreak-evensLivestockCoverageRecap
5,000 bu of Corn is contracted past the insurance guarantee. No further new-crop sales on this crop. Check whether coverage can go up, and if it cannot, tell Peg Dahlke what the exposure is in bushels. 6 more findings on this family.
Priced
61%
252k bu of 412k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$1.5M
$168,424 of it over break-even
On the table
$5.8K
Margin over cost in 160k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
2 live crops across 1,236 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

1,236 acres at 176 bu/acre · 218k bu expected

Needs a call
5,000 bu is forward contracted past the insurance guarantee

The Revenue Protection guarantee covers 163k bu. Everything above that carries production risk: a short crop has to be bought back, and a short crop and a rally arrive together. No further new-crop sales until the crop is closer to made or coverage goes up.

Break-even
$4.21
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.03
Board $4.31 with a -$0.28 basis.
Average sold
$4.23
+$0.02 over cost on 168k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.18
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace77% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 168k buInsured 163k bu, typed on the planExpected 218k bu

5,000 bu sold past the insured bushels.

49k bu unpricedStorage 152k bu, 70% of the crop168k bu sold, not hauled13k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
13k bu$4.46 cash$0.43Oct 31, 2026
6 days

Corn old crop · Dec 2026

1,118 acres at 174 bu/acre · 195k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.03 is under the $4.31 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 27% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.31
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.03
Board $4.31 with a -$0.28 basis.
Average sold
$4.17
-$0.14 over cost on 84k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.28
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace43% of 95% target
111k bu unpricedStorage 53k bu, 27% of the crop53k bu sold, not hauled32k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
32k bu$4.57 cash$0.54Nov 30, 2026

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.