GrainStrategy

Old Cedar Farms

Alma Pruitt · Webster County, NE · Wes Tolliver · client since 2022

120k bu at 84% priced · 286 head at 97% sold
$998.9K under management
Self directedCosts from their booksLast spoke in 28 days1 critical2 other findings(785) 555-9168
4,200 bu of Wheat is contracted past the insurance guarantee. No further new-crop sales on this crop. Check whether coverage can go up, and if it cannot, tell Alma Pruitt what the exposure is in bushels. 2 more findings on this family.
Priced
84%
101k bu of 120k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$885.4K
$108,239 of it over break-even
On the table
$5.1K
Margin over cost in 19k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
2 live crops across 1,254 acres.

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

1,254 acres at 49 bu/acre · 61k bu expected

Needs a call
4,200 bu is forward contracted past the insurance guarantee

The Revenue Protection guarantee covers 43k bu. Everything above that carries production risk: a short crop has to be bought back, and a short crop and a rally arrive together. No further new-crop sales until the crop is closer to made or coverage goes up.

Break-even
$5.96
From their books, Oct 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.34
Board $5.90 with a -$0.56 basis.
Average sold
$5.46
-$0.50 over cost on 47k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.62
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace77% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 47k buInsured 43k bu, typed on the planExpected 61k bu

4,200 bu sold past the insured bushels.

14k bu unpricedStorage 15k bu, 25% of the crop7,300 bu basis open47k bu sold, not hauled

Wheat old crop · Dec 2026

1,079 acres at 54 bu/acre · 58k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.96 is under the $5.29 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 25% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$5.29
From their books, Oct 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.96
Board $5.52 with a -$0.56 basis.
Average sold
$4.91
-$0.38 over cost on 53k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.33
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace91% of 95% target
4,966 bu unpricedStorage 14k bu, 25% of the crop15k bu sold, not hauled2,000 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Superior Crush
800 bu$5.81 board$0.29Good til canceled
Forward/HTA
Superior Crush
1,200 bu$5.61 cash$0.65Jan 21, 2027

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.