GrainStrategy

Pawnee Ridge Family Farms

Elaine Carver · Nuckolls County, NE · Owen Speck · client since 2022

722k bu at 85% priced
$2.9M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 8 days8 other findings(785) 555-9110
53k bu of Milo is due at Superior Crush in 37 days. Confirm with Elaine Carver that the bushels are in the bin and the trucking is arranged for Dec 2026. 7 more findings on this family.
Priced
85%
613k bu of 722k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$2.5M
-$1,593 of it over break-even
On the table
$12.3K
Margin over cost in 109k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Hold
3 live crops across 3,237 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

1,698 acres at 123 bu/acre · 209k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.67 is under the $4.12 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 41% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.12
Stated by the client, May 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.67
Board $3.95 with a -$0.28 basis.
Average sold
$3.66
-$0.46 over cost on 163k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.45
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace78% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 163k buInsured 167k bu, typed on the planExpected 209k bu

4,200 bu left inside the insured bushels.

46k bu unpricedStorage 85k bu, 41% of the crop163k bu sold, not hauled23k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Superior Crush
8,900 bu$4.37 cash$0.70Dec 19, 2026
Cash
Superior Crush
14k bu$4.37 cash$0.70Jan 17, 2027

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

1,539 acres at 187 bu/acre · 288k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 83% sold at $4.26 average, $0.37/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.14 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$3.89
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.14
Board $4.31 with a -$0.17 basis.
Average sold
$4.26
+$0.37 over cost on 238k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.25
$12,348 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace83% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 238k buInsured 245k bu, typed on the planExpected 288k bu

6,200 bu left inside the insured bushels.

49k bu unpricedStorage 195k bu, 68% of the crop238k bu sold, not hauled23k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Superior Crush
12k bu$4.38 cash$0.24Dec 2, 2026
Forward/HTA
Superior Crush
11k bu$4.48 cash$0.34Nov 6, 2026
12 days

Corn old crop · Dec 2026

1,297 acres at 174 bu/acre · 226k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.14 is under the $4.20 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 17% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.20
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.14
Board $4.31 with a -$0.17 basis.
Average sold
$4.13
-$0.07 over cost on 212k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.06
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace94% of 95% target
14k bu unpricedStorage 39k bu, 17% of the crop87k bu sold, not hauled

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.