GrainStrategy

Pawnee Ridge Family Farms

Elaine Carver · Nuckolls County, NE · Owen Speck · client since 2022

722k bu at 81% priced
$3.1M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 23 days3 other findings(785) 555-9110
17k bu of Corn stops being covered in -3 days. Decide before 2026-08-21 whether to roll it, re-price it, or let it go. Letting it go on purpose is a decision; letting it lapse is not. 2 more findings on this family.
Priced
81%
583k bu of 722k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$2.5M
$167,578 of it over break-even
On the table
$46K
Margin over cost in 139k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Hold
3 live crops across 3,237 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

1,698 acres at 123 bu/acre · 209k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.04 is under the $4.12 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 41% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.12
Stated by the client, Mar 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.04
Board $4.05 with a -$0.01 basis.
Average sold
$4.03
-$0.09 over cost on 156k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.08
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace75% of 72% target
53k bu unpricedStorage 85k bu, 41% of the crop156k bu sold, not hauled26k bu resting11k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Superior Crush
10k bu$4.37 cash$0.33Oct 3, 2026
Cash
Superior Crush
16k bu$4.43 cash$0.39Nov 1, 2026

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

1,539 acres at 187 bu/acre · 288k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 75% sold at $4.62 average, $0.73/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.50 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung (25% at $4.74).

Break-even
$3.89
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.50
Board $4.44 with a $0.06 basis.
Average sold
$4.62
+$0.73 over cost on 215k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.61
$44,160 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace75% of 72% target
72k bu unpricedStorage 195k bu, 68% of the crop215k bu sold, not hauled34k bu resting29k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Superior Crush
17k bu$4.74 cash$0.24Sep 16, 2026
Forward/HTA
Superior Crush
17k bu$4.84 cash$0.34Aug 21, 2026
-3 days

Corn old crop · Sep 2026

1,297 acres at 174 bu/acre · 226k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 94% sold at $4.32 average, $0.12/bu over break-even

Cash bid $4.33 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$4.20
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.33
Board $4.27 with a $0.06 basis.
Average sold
$4.32
+$0.12 over cost on 212k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.13
$1,830 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace94% of 95% target
14k bu unpricedStorage 39k bu, 17% of the crop87k bu sold, not hauled

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.