GrainStrategy

Morning Star Ag

Grant Jansen · Jewell County, KS · Danae Kruse · client since 2017

627k bu at 62% priced
$2.6M under management
Self directedCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 30 days1 critical5 other findings(785) 555-4513
4 of 4 break-evens did not come from this family's books. The plans built on them are sound and the numbers under them are what somebody remembered, so the confidence in every margin on the other tabs is capped by that. Worth saying out loud to Grant Jansen rather than leaving implied.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
4 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Corn
new crop · 1,676 acres at 148 bu
$4.48County estimateJun 9, 2026
2 months old
248k bu$1,111,255
$663/acre
-$0.18
bid $4.30
With a caveat
Corn
old crop · 1,441 acres at 144 bu
$3.76Stated on a callJun 9, 2026
2 months old
208k bu$780,215
$541/acre
+$0.37
bid $4.13
With a caveat
Milo
new crop · 965 acres at 102 bu
$3.67County estimateApr 9, 2026
4 months old
98k bu$361,238
$374/acre
+$0.22
bid $3.89
With a caveat
Milo
old crop · 853 acres at 86 bu
$4.19County estimateAug 9, 202673k bu$307,370
$360/acre
-$0.44
bid $3.75
With a caveat

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.