Goose Creek Grain Co

Vern Larsen · Clay County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2018

143k bu at 70% priced · 353 head at 96% sold

$1M under management

Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 3 months9 other findings(785) 555-7967

Position Plan Working Orders Sales Break-evens Livestock Coverage Recap

Wheat is 58% sold against a 80% pace with the bid $0.40/bu over cost. Price 3,500 bu through the elevator, which banks $1,400 over cost with no margin call risk. 8 more findings on this family.

Priced

70%

100k bu of 143k bu · pace 80%

Revenue locked

$836.6K

$125,075 of it over break-even

On the table

$10.8K

Margin over cost in 43k bu unpriced, at today's bids.

Reading

Needs a call

2 live crops across 1,240 acres.

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

541 acres at 54 bu/acre · 29k bu expected

Needs a call

Price the next 23%: the bid is $0.40/bu over break-even at 58% sold against a 80% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 20k bu, so 3,500 bu can be contracted without production risk.

3,500 bu at $5.30 banks $1,400 over break-even.

Break-even

$4.90

Stated by the client, Mar 25, 2026.

Cash bid today

$5.30

Board $5.90 with a -$0.60 basis.

Average sold

$5.30

+$0.40 over cost on 17k bu.

Bid over cost

+$0.40

$4,926 across the unpriced bushels.

Priced against pace58% of 80% target

Sold against insured

Sold 17k buInsured 20k bu, typed on the planExpected 29k bu

3,500 bu left inside the insured bushels.

12k bu unpricedStorage 5,800 bu, 20% of the crop17k bu sold, not hauled2,100 bu resting

Resting in the market

Instrument	Bushels	Trigger	Away	Expires
Cash Concordia Grain	2,100 bu	$5.92 board	$0.02 Near	Dec 16, 2026

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

699 acres at 163 bu/acre · 114k bu expected

Hold

Cash bid $3.85 is under the $3.90 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 49% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even

$3.90

Estimated from county averages.

Cash bid today

$3.85

Board $4.31 with a -$0.46 basis.

Average sold

$3.93

+$0.03 over cost on 83k bu.

Bid over cost

-$0.05

The market is not paying this family's cost right now.

Priced against pace73% of 80% target

Sold against insured

Sold 83k buInsured 86k bu, typed on the planExpected 114k bu

2,300 bu left inside the insured bushels.

31k bu unpricedStorage 55k bu, 49% of the crop83k bu sold, not hauled12k bu resting

Resting in the market

Instrument	Bushels	Trigger	Away	Expires
Cash Concordia Grain	8,600 bu	$4.13 cash	$0.28	Nov 7, 2026 13 days
Forward/HTA Concordia Grain	3,100 bu	$4.13 cash	$0.28	Jan 9, 2027

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.