GrainStrategy

Turkey Creek Ag

Dell Grosshans · Webster County, NE · Katie Rennick · client since 2019

673k bu at 58% priced
$2.7M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 44 days6 other findings(785) 555-9642
1 break-even is more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on that crop is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting Dell Grosshans onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
9 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Milo
new crop · 1,592 acres at 103 bu
$3.50County estimateJun 9, 2026
2 months old
164k bu$573,916
$361/acre
+$0.35
bid $3.85
With a caveat
Corn
new crop · 1,564 acres at 182 bu
$4.39County estimateNov 9, 2025
9 months old
285k bu$1,249,605
$799/acre
-$0.19
bid $4.20
Out of date
Corn
old crop · 1,259 acres at 178 bu
$4.19County estimateJul 9, 2026
1 month old
224k bu$938,987
$746/acre
-$0.16
bid $4.03
With a caveat

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.