GrainStrategy

Big Bluff Ranch

Rhonda Hemmelgarn · Clay County, KS · Bree Sandoval · client since 2019

248k bu at 76% priced · 2,370 head at 68% sold
$7.4M under management
Call before pricingCosts from their booksLast spoke in 9 days11 other findings(785) 555-8382
PositionPlanWorking OrdersSalesBreak-evensLivestockCoverageRecap
Soybeans is 73% sold against a 80% pace with the bid $0.31/bu over cost. Price 1,200 bu through the elevator, which banks $372 over cost with no margin call risk. 10 more findings on this family.
Priced
76%
189k bu of 248k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$5.2M
-$60,851 of it over break-even
On the table
$4.9K
Margin over cost in 60k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 1,998 acres.

Soybeans new crop · Nov 2026

1,104 acres at 53 bu/acre · 59k bu expected

Needs a call
Price the next 25%: the bid is $0.31/bu over break-even at 73% sold against a 80% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 44k bu, so 1,200 bu can be contracted without production risk.

1,200 bu at $10.52 banks $372 over break-even.

Break-even
$10.21
From their books, Oct 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$10.52
Board $10.86 with a -$0.34 basis.
Average sold
$10.73
+$0.52 over cost on 43k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.31
$4,902 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace73% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 43k buInsured 44k bu, typed on the planExpected 59k bu

1,200 bu left inside the insured bushels.

16k bu unpricedStorage 27k bu, 46% of the crop43k bu sold, not hauled4,700 bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Clay Center Ethanol
1,800 bu$10.83 cash$0.31Dec 1, 2026
Forward/HTA
Clay Center Ethanol
2,900 bu$10.91 cash$0.39Good til canceled

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

894 acres at 116 bu/acre · 104k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.48 is under the $4.16 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 29% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.16
From their books, Aug 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.48
Board $3.95 with a -$0.47 basis.
Average sold
$3.50
-$0.66 over cost on 81k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.68
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace78% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 81k buInsured 83k bu, typed on the planExpected 104k bu

2,100 bu left inside the insured bushels.

23k bu unpricedStorage 30k bu, 29% of the crop81k bu sold, not hauled11k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Clay Center Ethanol
6,300 bu$4.41 cash$0.93Nov 2, 2026
8 days
Forward/HTA
Clay Center Ethanol
4,200 bu$4.41 cash$0.93Nov 25, 2026

Milo old crop · Dec 2026

768 acres at 112 bu/acre · 86k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.48 is under the $3.58 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 76% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.58
From their books, Aug 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.48
Board $3.95 with a -$0.47 basis.
Average sold
$3.48
-$0.10 over cost on 65k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.10
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace76% of 95% target
21k bu unpricedStorage 66k bu, 76% of the crop34k bu basis open

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.