Buffalo Gap Ag
Elaine Ostrander · Clay County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2023
124k bu at 51% priced
$594.2K under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 50 days1 critical7 other findings(785) 555-6764
1 break-even is more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on that crop is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting Elaine Ostrander onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
8 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.
Cost of production, by crop
| Crop | Break-even | Source | As of | Expected | Cost of the crop | Cash bid over cost | Trusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corn new crop · 256 acres at 179 bu | $3.79 | County estimate | Aug 9, 2026 | 46k bu | $173,673 $678/acre | +$0.62 bid $4.41 | With a caveat |
| Corn old crop · 234 acres at 161 bu | $4.45 | County estimate | Dec 9, 2025 8 months old | 38k bu | $167,649 $716/acre | -$0.21 bid $4.24 | Out of date |
| Wheat new crop · 389 acres at 60 bu | $5.68 | County estimate | Jun 9, 2026 2 months old | 23k bu | $132,571 $341/acre | +$0.23 bid $5.91 | With a caveat |
| Wheat old crop · 324 acres at 52 bu | $5.93 | County estimate | Feb 9, 2026 6 months old | 17k bu | $99,909 $308/acre | -$0.57 bid $5.36 | With a caveat |
The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.
Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.