GrainStrategy

Spring Branch Family Farms

Curt Novak · Washington County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2026

131k bu at 55% priced · 443 head at 62% sold
$1.8M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 40 days1 critical7 other findings(785) 555-4870
PositionPlanWorking OrdersSalesBreak-evensLivestockRecap
Wheat time stop passed 46 days ago on a 21% tranche. Price 8,192 bu at $5.72, which is $82 over cost, or agree a new date with Curt Novak and write it down. 7 more findings on this family.
Priced
55%
72k bu of 131k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$1.1M
$116,176 of it over break-even
On the table
$69.9K
Margin over cost in 59k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 1,611 acres.

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

736 acres at 53 bu/acre · 39k bu expected

Needs a call
Time stop passed: the 21% tranche was due 2026-07-09

The plan prices this tranche on the calendar rather than the market, so unpriced grain does not ride into delivery. Today's cash bid is $5.72 against a $5.71 break-even.

8,192 bu at $5.72 banks $82 over break-even.

Break-even
$5.71
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$5.72
Board $6.01 with a -$0.29 basis.
Average sold
$5.69
-$0.02 over cost on 11k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.01
$277 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace29% of 72% target
28k bu unpricedStorage 25k bu, 65% of the crop11k bu sold, not hauled12k bu resting22k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
4,600 bu$6.05 cash$0.33Good til canceled
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
7,500 bu$6.05 cash$0.33Sep 9, 2026

Soybeans new crop · Nov 2026

875 acres at 51 bu/acre · 45k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 76% sold at $10.68 average, $1.17/bu over break-even

Cash bid $10.74 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$9.51
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$10.74
Board $10.88 with a -$0.14 basis.
Average sold
$10.68
+$1.17 over cost on 34k bu.
Bid over cost
+$1.23
$13,438 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace76% of 72% target
11k bu unpricedStorage 25k bu, 57% of the crop11k bu basis open34k bu sold, not hauled3,400 bu resting2,000 bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
1,800 bu$10.96 board$0.08Oct 6, 2026
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
1,600 bu$10.84 cash$0.10Aug 13, 2026
-11 days

Soybeans old crop · Aug 2026

840 acres at 56 bu/acre · 47k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $10.70 is under the $10.84 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 68% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$10.84
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$10.70
Board $10.84 with a -$0.14 basis.
Average sold
$10.74
-$0.10 over cost on 27k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.14
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace57% of 95% target
20k bu unpricedStorage 32k bu, 68% of the crop

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.