GrainStrategy

Shortgrass Acres

Sara Wendt · Republic County, KS · Owen Speck · client since 2025

43k bu at 74% priced
$246.2K under management
Call before pricingCosts are stated, not from their booksLast spoke in 3 months1 other findings(785) 555-6114
1 of 1 break-evens did not come from this family's books. The plans built on them are sound and the numbers under them are what somebody remembered, so the confidence in every margin on the other tabs is capped by that. Worth saying out loud to Sara Wendt rather than leaving implied.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
Current
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Wheat
new crop · 747 acres at 57 bu
$5.25Stated on a callAug 9, 202643k bu$223,540
$299/acre
+$0.47
bid $5.72
With a caveat

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.