GrainStrategy

Cedar Hollow Acres

Cassie Hemmelgarn · Washington County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2021

1.1M bu at 43% priced
$6.6M under management
Self directedCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 31 days1 critical5 other findings(785) 555-3461
2 break-evens are more than 6 months old. Every target, every margin and every recommendation on those crops is measured against numbers set before this season's fertilizer, fuel and cash rent were known. Getting Cassie Hemmelgarn onto Farmer Metrics is what stops this being a phone call every six months. See the referral path.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
7 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Soybeans
new crop · 3,670 acres at 52 bu
$9.95Stated on a callMar 9, 2026
5 months old
191k bu$1,898,858
$517/acre
+$0.71
bid $10.66
With a caveat
Soybeans
old crop · 3,426 acres at 45 bu
$10.23County estimateJan 9, 2026
7 months old
154k bu$1,577,159
$460/acre
+$0.39
bid $10.62
Out of date
Corn
new crop · 4,227 acres at 167 bu
$4.54County estimateJan 9, 2026
7 months old
706k bu$3,204,827
$758/acre
-$0.41
bid $4.13
Out of date

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.