GrainStrategy

Prairie Wind Family Farms

Merle Eichhorn · Republic County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2020

333k bu at 60% priced · 97 head at 53% sold
$2.6M under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 42 days1 critical8 other findings(785) 555-1067
PositionPlanWorking OrdersSalesBreak-evensLivestockRecap
2026 calf crop time stop passed 15 days ago on a 29 head lot. Move 29 head at $246.19/cwt, which is $13,348 over cost, or agree a new date with Merle Eichhorn and write it down. 8 more findings on this family.
Priced
60%
198k bu of 333k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$1.5M
$155,669 of it over break-even
On the table
$129.4K
Margin over cost in 135k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 3,923 acres.

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

1,789 acres at 63 bu/acre · 113k bu expected

On plan
On plan: 73% sold at $5.86 average, $0.59/bu over break-even

Cash bid $5.72 still clears break-even. Let the working orders rest and revisit at the next rung.

Break-even
$5.27
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$5.72
Board $6.01 with a -$0.29 basis.
Average sold
$5.86
+$0.59 over cost on 83k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.45
$13,548 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace73% of 72% target
30k bu unpricedStorage 20k bu, 17% of the crop83k bu sold, not hauled14k bu resting7,600 bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
7,100 bu$5.75 cash$0.03
Near
Oct 7, 2026
Cash
Smith Center Feeders
7,000 bu$6.24 board$0.23Nov 2, 2026

Wheat old crop · Sep 2026

1,589 acres at 65 bu/acre · 103k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $5.17 is under the $5.44 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 61% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$5.44
Stated by the client, Aug 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.17
Board $5.46 with a -$0.29 basis.
Average sold
$5.06
-$0.38 over cost on 58k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.27
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace56% of 95% target
46k bu unpricedStorage 63k bu, 61% of the crop15k bu sold, not hauled19k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
9,800 bu$5.77 cash$0.60Aug 21, 2026
-3 days
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
8,900 bu$5.77 cash$0.60Oct 4, 2026

Soybeans new crop · Nov 2026

2,134 acres at 55 bu/acre · 117k bu expected

Needs a call
Price the next 21%: the bid is $1.60/bu over break-even at 50% sold against a 72% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 94k bu, so 36k bu can be contracted without production risk.

25k bu at $10.74 banks $39,437 over break-even.

Break-even
$9.14
Stated by the client, Jul 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$10.74
Board $10.88 with a -$0.14 basis.
Average sold
$11.00
+$1.86 over cost on 58k bu.
Bid over cost
+$1.60
$94,672 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace50% of 72% target
59k bu unpricedStorage 42k bu, 36% of the crop58k bu sold, not hauled36k bu safe to contract

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.