GrainStrategy

Elm Grove Ranch

Kristin Grosshans · Thayer County, NE · Wes Tolliver · client since 2023

260k bu at 75% priced
$1.2M under management
Call before pricingCosts are stated, not from their booksLast spoke in 27 days2 other findings(785) 555-4331
Wheat is 43% sold against a 72% pace with the bid $0.60/bu over cost. Price 8,189 bu through the elevator, which banks $4,913 over cost with no margin call risk. 1 more findings on this family.
Priced
75%
194k bu of 260k bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$835.5K
$15,495 of it over break-even
On the table
$19.5K
Margin over cost in 66k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Needs a call
3 live crops across 1,455 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

563 acres at 177 bu/acre · 100k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.20 is only $0.09/bu over the $4.11 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 51% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.11
Stated by the client, Jun 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.20
Board $4.44 with a -$0.24 basis.
Average sold
$4.27
+$0.16 over cost on 68k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.09
$2,867 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace68% of 72% target
32k bu unpricedStorage 51k bu, 51% of the crop68k bu sold, not hauled4,100 bu resting2,000 bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Hebron Farmers Co-op
4,100 bu$4.65 board$0.21Oct 18, 2026

Corn old crop · Sep 2026

554 acres at 202 bu/acre · 112k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.03 is under the $4.13 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 36% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.13
Stated by the client, Aug 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$4.03
Board $4.27 with a -$0.24 basis.
Average sold
$4.05
-$0.08 over cost on 106k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.10
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace95% of 95% target
6,108 bu unpricedStorage 40k bu, 36% of the crop31k bu sold, not hauled

Wheat new crop · Jul 2027

892 acres at 54 bu/acre · 48k bu expected

Needs a call
Price the next 17%: the bid is $0.60/bu over break-even at 43% sold against a 72% pace

Locking this tranche at today's bid banks profit with no margin call risk. Insurance guarantees 41k bu, so 20k bu can be contracted without production risk.

8,189 bu at $5.69 banks $4,913 over break-even.

Break-even
$5.09
Stated by the client, Feb 9, 2026.
Cash bid today
$5.69
Board $6.01 with a -$0.32 basis.
Average sold
$5.75
+$0.66 over cost on 21k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.60
$16,601 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace43% of 72% target
28k bu unpricedStorage 23k bu, 47% of the crop21k bu sold, not hauled20k bu safe to contract

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.