GrainStrategy

Sunrise Family Farms

Merle Gruber · Washington County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2017

40k bu at 68% priced
$371.1K under management
Price to the planCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 4 months8 other findings(785) 555-4133
3 of 3 break-evens did not come from this family's books. The plans built on them are sound and the numbers under them are what somebody remembered, so the confidence in every margin on the other tabs is capped by that. Worth saying out loud to Merle Gruber rather than leaving implied.
From their books
0%
The rest were stated on a call or estimated from county averages.
Oldest
6 mo
The desk treats anything past 6 months as not trusted.
Desk cushion
$0.10
A break-even is an estimate, so pricing exactly at one is pricing at the midpoint of an error bar.
On Farmer Metrics
No
Costs have to be collected by phone every season.

Cost of production, by crop

CropBreak-evenSourceAs ofExpectedCost of the cropCash bid over costTrusted
Soybeans
new crop · 274 acres at 51 bu
$11.04County estimateFeb 9, 2026
6 months old
14k bu$154,273
$563/acre
-$0.26
bid $10.78
With a caveat
Soybeans
old crop · 265 acres at 53 bu
$9.57Stated on a callMar 9, 2026
5 months old
14k bu$134,411
$507/acre
+$1.17
bid $10.74
With a caveat
Wheat
new crop · 218 acres at 55 bu
$5.27Stated on a callMar 9, 2026
5 months old
12k bu$63,187
$290/acre
+$0.48
bid $5.75
With a caveat

The desk treats a break-even older than 6 months as not trusted, because six months spans a planting-to-harvest change in fertilizer, fuel and cash rent. A February break-even used to justify an August sale is a different farm's numbers.

Cost per acre is the cost of the crop divided by planted acres, so it moves with yield as well as with cost. A good year lowers the cost per bushel without a single input getting cheaper, which is the part clients find hardest to believe and the reason the plan is written in dollars per bushel.