GrainStrategy

Spring Branch Acres

Lyle Carver · Jewell County, KS · Katie Rennick · client since 2015

437k bu at 71% priced
$1.7M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 1 day8 other findings(785) 555-6437
79k bu of Milo has been priced with the basis open for over 60 days. Call the elevator and fix the basis on these bushels, or tell Lyle Carver plainly that this part of their position is not fully priced yet. 7 more findings on this family.
Priced
71%
310k bu of 437k bu · pace 80%
Revenue locked
$1.2M
-$103,537 of it over break-even
On the table
$7.7K
Margin over cost in 126k bu unpriced, at today's bids.
Reading
Hold
2 live crops across 3,825 acres.

Milo new crop · Dec 2026

2,383 acres at 98 bu/acre · 234k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $3.46 is under the $4.20 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 47% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.20
Stated by the client, Jul 25, 2026.
Cash bid today
$3.46
Board $3.95 with a -$0.49 basis.
Average sold
$3.61
-$0.59 over cost on 193k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.74
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace82% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 193k buInsured 199k bu, typed on the planExpected 234k bu

6,000 bu left inside the insured bushels.

41k bu unpricedStorage 109k bu, 47% of the crop79k bu basis open193k bu sold, not hauled22k bu resting

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
11k bu$4.07 board$0.12Dec 10, 2026
Forward/HTA
Smith Center Feeders
11k bu$4.45 cash$0.99Jan 7, 2027

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

1,442 acres at 141 bu/acre · 203k bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.03 is only $0.09/bu over the $3.94 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 39% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$3.94
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.03
Board $4.31 with a -$0.28 basis.
Average sold
$4.02
+$0.08 over cost on 118k bu.
Bid over cost
+$0.09
$7,688 across the unpriced bushels.
Priced against pace58% of 80% target
Sold against insured
Sold 118k buInsured 163k bu, typed on the planExpected 203k bu

45k bu left inside the insured bushels.

85k bu unpricedStorage 80k bu, 39% of the crop118k bu sold, not hauled

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.