GrainStrategy

Smoky Hill Family Farms

Nadine Novak · Cloud County, KS · Wes Tolliver · client since 2022

1.0M bu at 74% priced
$4.4M under management
Call before pricingCosts are estimatesLast spoke in 53 days4 other findings(785) 555-4994
30k bu of Corn stops being covered in -8 days. Decide before 2026-08-16 whether to roll it, re-price it, or let it go. Letting it go on purpose is a decision; letting it lapse is not. 3 more findings on this family.
Priced
74%
743k bu of 1.0M bu · pace 72%
Revenue locked
$3.3M
-$151,062 of it over break-even
On the table
Today's bids do not clear this family's cost of production.
Reading
Hold
1 live crop across 7,176 acres.

Corn new crop · Dec 2026

7,176 acres at 140 bu/acre · 1.0M bu expected

Hold
Cash bid $4.38 is under the $4.65 break-even

No forced sales. Storage covers 64% of the crop, so plan delivery or a basis contract for the rest and let the board come to you.

Break-even
$4.65
Estimated from county averages.
Cash bid today
$4.38
Board $4.44 with a -$0.06 basis.
Average sold
$4.45
-$0.20 over cost on 743k bu.
Bid over cost
-$0.27
The market is not paying this family's cost right now.
Priced against pace74% of 72% target
261k bu unpricedStorage 645k bu, 64% of the crop167k bu basis open743k bu sold, not hauled30k bu resting60k bu safe to contract

Resting in the market

InstrumentBushelsTriggerAwayExpires
Cash
Clay Center Ethanol
30k bu$4.70 board$0.26Aug 16, 2026
-8 days

Every figure on this page is computed from the desk's records. Nothing here is a trade recommendation to the client: the plan is what they agreed to, the next action is what that plan calls for today, and a person decides.